The Los Angeles Dodgers (64-46) close out a 4-game series against the San Diego Padres (55-57) on Monday. First pitch from Petco Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 7-2
The Dodgers took 2 of the first 3 games of the series, beating the Padres 8-2 Sunday and 10-5 Friday, while dropping Saturday’s game 8-3. Los Angeles has won 5 of its last 6 games and leads the NL West by 4 games.
The Padres have won 6 of their last 9 games overall despite dropping 2 games in this series. They are in 4th place in the NL West, 10 games behind the Dodgers, but only 3 back in the NL Wild Card race.
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Dodgers at Padres projected starters
RHP Tony Gonsolin vs. RHP Seth Lugo
Gonsolins (6-4, 4.11 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 87 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 10-1 home win over Oakland Athletics Tuesday
- 2023 vs. Padres: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-0 home win on May 14
Lugo (4-5, 3.64 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 89 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 5 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 4-3 road loss vs. Colorado Rockies last Monday
- Career vs. Dodgers: 2-1 with 3.24 ERA over 1 start and 10 relief appearances
Dodgers at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-190) | Padres -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 6, Padres 4
Moneyline
The Dodgers have dominated the season series, winning 7 of 9 matchups. They have won 4 of Gonsolin’s last 5 starts and are 11-10 this season as the underdog.
The Padres have allowed 21 runs in 3 games this series. They are 45-41 as favorites this season.
The Dodgers have dominated the Padres this season and that’s impossible to ignore.
BET DODGERS (+100).
Run line/Against the spread
The Dodgers are 16-5 ATS as underdogs this season, the best mark in the majors. However, they have won 4 of the last 5 times they covered the spread as the underdog, making the moneyline the better play. Betting Los Angeles +1.5 (-190) isn’t worth the action unless you include it in the leg of a parlay.
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Over/Under
All 3 games in the series have reached 10 total runs.
The Dodgers have had 6 straight games with 10 or more runs.
The Padres have had 5 games in a row with 10 or more runs.
BET OVER 9 (-115).
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