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The Arizona Diamondbacks (52-42) and Atlanta Braves (61-31) meet Tuesday as they open a 3-game series. First pitch at Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Atlanta leads 2-1.
Arizona is coming off a second half-opening sweep – a 3-gamer – at the hands of the Toronto Blue Jays. The Diamondbacks have lost 4 in a row overall. They are 1-6 across their last 7 games against Atlanta.
The Braves were felled in 2 of 3 weekend games against the Chicago White Sox but are still 13-4 since June 24. During that stretch, Atlanta is 7-2 at home, cranking out a .925 OPS along the way.
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Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters
RHP Zach Davies vs. RHP Bryce Elder
Davies (1-5, 6.37 ERA) is tabbed for his 12th start of the season. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 53 2/3 IP.
- Owns a Boeing 7.85 ERA across his last 6 starts
- 4 career starts vs. Braves: 1-1, 4.98 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 8 K in 21 2/3 IP
Elder (7-2, 2.97 ERA) is making his 19th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 106 IP.
- Closed out his 1st half with a 4-walk, no-strikeout game (July 9 at Tampa Bay)
- Has experienced trouble late in games: Over his 2-year career, the has yielded a mere .578 OPS the 1st time through the order. Opponents own a .658 OPS the 2nd time through. Batters have roughed him up for a .772 OPS the 3rd time around. Arizona’s .815 OPS in third-time-around plate appearances ranks 6th in the league.
Diamondbacks at Braves odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks +188 (bet $100 to win $188) | Braves -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-102) | Braves -1.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)
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Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 6, Braves 5
Moneyline
Arizona has been a fade candidate of late and is up against an Atlanta club ranked 2nd in MLB in scoring (5.64 RPG). But the Diamondbacks have been solid on the road (26-18), and the Braves’ schedule has been a tad light, especially with regard to batting faced.
Davies has been undone by some unkind rates around the margins, and Elder has numbers that swing the other way.
Before their 2-8 stretch, the Diamondbacks had gone 9-1 over 10 series openers from May 29-June 30. The price here is solid: BACK ARIZONA (+188).
Run line/Against the spread
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 91 games (+11.85 Units, 10% ROI).
They are listed at a fair number here, and some bettors may want to split a unit with some D-Backs action coming on the Moneyline and some here on the Run Line. That serves as a hedge against a 1-run loss against a powerful Braves team.
TAKE ARIZONA +1.5 (-102).
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Over/Under
The Under is 6-1 across the last 7 series meetings, but signals for this one swing both ways. No leverage = PASS.
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