Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (53-42) and the St. Louis Cardinals (40-53) open a 3-game series Monday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 3-1

The Marlins were outscored 16-11 as they suffered a 3-game interleague series sweep on the road at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend. Miami has dropped 6 in a row on the road, last winning June 29 at the Boston Red Sox.

The Cardinals have won 4 of their last 5 games overall. St. Louis lost 3 of 4 games and was outscored 30-18 in a series in Miami July 3-6. The Over cashed in each of the 3 losses while the Under came through in the lone St. Louis win.

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Marlins at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Jesus Luzardo vs. RHP Miles Mikolas

Luzardo (8-5, 3.29 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 109 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 9 K in a 7-3 home win vs. the Philadelphia Phillies July 9
  • 2023 Road Splits: 4-3, 4.64 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 22 ER – 7 HR), .287 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 starts

Mikolas (5-5, 4.12 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 115 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 2 K in a 7-5 home loss in 10 innings vs. the Washington Nationals Friday
  • 2023 Home Splits: 1-2, 5.01 ERA (50 1/3 IP, 28 ER – 3 HR), .284 OBA in 9 starts

Marlins at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Cardinals -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-200) | Cardinals -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

The MARLINS (+100) are a solid value on the road in this series opener.

Miami handled St. Louis in a 4-game set in South Florida earlier in the month, winning 3 of the outings, including a contest where it the Fish got to Mikolas for 4 runs, 4 hits and 2 walks across 6 1/3 innings in a 5-4 victory on July 3. Look for a similar situation on Monday.

Run line/Against the spread

The Marlins +1.5 (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return if you’d like a little insurance on the road team. It’s not necessary. PASS, and just play Miami straight up instead.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-115) is the lean, but play it lightly.

The Over is 8-2-1 in the past 11 games overall for the Marlins while cashing in 4 of the past 6 games on the road. The Over also hit in 3 of the 4 previous meetings with the Cardinals.

For St. Louis, the Over has cashed in 3 in a row and is 6-2 in its last 8 home games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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