The Miami Marlins (53-39) and Baltimore Orioles (54-35) begin a 3-game series in Baltimore Friday. First pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Orioles and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since teams split 4 games in 2021
The Marlins begin the 2nd half on the road for 6 games. They are 23-21 on the road this season. Miami is 2nd in the NL East, 8 1/2 games behind the Atlanta Braves. The Marlins have performed well against the American League, winning 20 of 27 interleague games.
Baltimore finished the 1st half on a 5-game winning streak. The Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, just 2 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays. The Orioles are 26-18 in Charm City this season.
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Marlins at Orioles projected starters
RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Dean Kremer
Alcantara (3-7, 4.72 ERA) will make his 19th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 114 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies Friday
- Only start vs. Orioles: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-3 win at Baltimore on July 27, 2021
- 2023 away splits: 2-3, 5.00 ERA (54 IP, 30 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 7.2 K/9, .268 opponent batting average (OBA) in 9 starts
Kremer (9-4, 4.78 ERA) will make his 19th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 98 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6-3 win at the New York Yankees on July 5
- Has never started against the Marlins
- 2023 home splits: 4-2, 5.51 ERA (49 IP, 30 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 7.2 K/9, .268 OBA in 9 starts
Marlins at Orioles odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Orioles -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-200) | Orioles -1.5 (+164)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)
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Marlins at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Marlins 3
Moneyline
BET ORIOLES (-116).
I like the Orioles to start the 2nd half the way they closed out the 1st half with a win. Baltimore has taken care of business all season at Camden Yards and sit 14 games above .500 in night games.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+164).
I expect the Orioles to handle Alcantara and company. Baltimore covered the run line in all 5 of their wins before the All-Star break.
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Over/Under
AVOID.
I don’t love either side of this run line. If it went to 9.5, I’d be tempted to take the Under, but I’d rather just stay away and bet big on the moneyline and run line.
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