The Los Angeles Angels (45-41) open a 5-game road trip on Monday with a 3-game series against the San Diego Padres (38-46). First pitch from Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since teams split 4 games in 2021
The Angels wrapped up a 7-game road trip going 3-4 by losing 2 out of 3 games to the Arizona Diamondbacks. They salvaged the final game of the series, winning 5-2 on Sunday as OF Mike Trout and DH Shohei Ohtani each homered. LA is 4-8 in the last 12 games.
The Padres lost 2 out of 3 games on the road against the Cincinnati Reds, losing the finale 4-3 on Sunday. They went 1-5 on the road trip, are 1-7 in their last 8 games and 3-10 in their last 13.
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Angels at Padres projected starters
RHP Jaime Barria vs. LHP Blake Snell
Barria (2-3, 2.92 ERA) makes his 6th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 49 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 0 K in 11-5 home loss to Chicago White Sox last Wednesday
- Is 1-1 with 4.43 ERA in 5 starts (22 1/3 IP)
Snell (4-7, 3.21 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 87 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 7-1 road loss to Pittsburgh Pirates last Wednesday
- Is 3-1 with 0.87 ERA in last 7 starts (42 IP)
Angels at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:42 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Angels +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Angels at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 5, Angels 2
Moneyline
Snell has been fantastic over the last 7 starts, allowing only 4 total runs in 42 innings. He has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 9 of his last 10 outings.
The Angels managed to score only 8 total runs in their 3-game series against Arizona, losing 2 of 3.
Despite their recent struggles, the Padres should take the opener, but the line is such that it doesn’t make sense to bet them on the moneyline unless you include it in a parlay bet.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Angels’ last 4 losses and 7 of their last 8 have been by 2 or more runs. They are 41-45 ATS overall this season.
The Padres are 39-45 ATS overall this season and 16-24 ATS at home, but Snell’s pitching against a struggling Angels team should get them on track.
BET PADRES -1.5 (+110).
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Over/Under
The Angels’ last 3 games and 6 of their last 8 did not reach 9 total runs. Five of the Padres’ last 7 have had at least 9 total runs while 4 of Snell’s last 6 starts have not surpassed 8 total runs.
BET UNDER 8 (-115).
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