In the final group stage matchday for the CONCACAF Gold Cup, Mexico battles Qatar. Kickoff from Levi’s Stadium is set for 9 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mexico vs. Qatar odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Mexico lost to the United States 3-0 in the Nations League semifinal on June 15. Since then, it has played better, beating Panama 1-0 in the 3d-place game then taking down Honduras 4-0 and Haiti 3-1 in the 1st two group stage matches. Mexico ended with 32 shots on Haiti and 17 on Honduras.
Qatar, the country which hosted the World Cup in 2022, lost to Haiti 2-1 on June 25, the first matchday. It then drew Honduras 1-1 on June 29, a game in which both teams ended with 10 men. Qatar was outshot in both matches which doesn’t bode well in its match with the top Group B side. Qatar ranks 58th in the world rankings while Mexico sits 14th.
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Mexico vs. Qatar odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Mexico -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Qatar +675 (bet $100 to win $675) | Draw +425 (bet $100 to win $425)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -165)
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Mexico vs. Qatar picks and predictions
Prediction
Mexico 4, Qatar 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Mexico dominated both Honduras and Haiti, sides that Qatar either struggled with or lost to. Despite that, Mexico doesn’t necessarily have to win this game to win the group, so it might not put its best foot forward. Nonetheless, pass on the strong favorite at (-300) and also avoid playing either big-payout plus-money value.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+115).
Mexico has been on a tear offensively. It scored 4 goals against Honduras and then 3 against Haiti. It should have similar success against a Qatar side that allowed 3 goals through 2 matches. Haiti had 15 shots on Qatar, and Mexico dominated Haiti.
Qatar has scored in both games as well, so while it has been dominated, it has at least had enough opportunities to put something on the scoreboard. It has scored in 7 of 8 games so far in 2023.
Put together Mexico’s dominance and Qatar’s ability to get a goal, and take the OVER 3.5 (+115).
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
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