The Toronto Blue Jays (37-31) and the Baltimore Orioles (42-24) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Wednesday in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 4-0
The Blue Jays limp into this game with 3 losses in the past 4 games, splashing cold water on the team after Toronto had won 3 of 4 games from the defending champ Houston Astros. Pitching has been the biggest concern lately, allowing a total of 26 runs across the past 3 outings.
The Orioles, meanwhile, are red-hot. Baltimore has won 5 in a row, scoring 6 or more runs in 4 of the 5 victories. Pitching has also been solid for the O’s, as the staff has allowed a total of just 15 runs over the past 5 outings.
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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters
RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Kyle Bradish
Berrios (6-4, 3.61 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 77 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 3-2 home win vs. the Houston Astros last Thursday
- 2023 road splits: 3-3, 4.40 ERA (47 IP, 23 ER – 5 HR) with a .264 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 starts
Bradish (2-2, 4.25 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 53 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 10 K in a 6-3 road win vs. the Milwaukee Brewers last Thursday
- 2023 home splits: 1-1, 3.74 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 9 ER) with a .241 OBA in 4 starts
Blue Jays at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+140) | Orioles +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 5, Orioles 4
Moneyline
The BLUE JAYS (-115) will exact a little revenge on the Orioles (-105) in this AL East bird battle, as I like the way Berrios has been pitching lately.
The Toronto right-hander has quality starts in both of his 2 June appearances, and he has lasted 6 or more innings while allowing 3 or fewer runs in 7 of his past 10 outings. His only real rough outings came on May 1 at Boston, and his very 1st assignment of the season April 3 at Kansas City of all places.
Run line/Against the spread
The ORIOLES +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance, but can’t play the home team straight up. Baltimore has been white-hot lately, and it is unbeaten against Toronto in 4 matchups this season.
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Over/Under
Total 9 is a PASS for me, as I expect the total to come down right on the number.
The Under is 8-3-1 in the past 12 games for Toronto against winning teams, but the Over is 13-3 in the past 16 inside the division and 14-6 in the past 20 on the road.
The Over is 5-1 in the past 6 divisional games for the O’s, but the Under is 9-3-2 in the past 14 at home against winning teams. The trends are all over the place.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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