The Pittsburgh Pirates (21-19) and Baltimore Orioles (26-13) wrap up a 3-game series in Charm City on Sunday. First pitch from Orioles Park at Camden Yards is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 2-0
Baltimore beat the Pirates 2-0 on Saturday for its 4th straight victory. They have held opponents to 1.5 runs per game during the 4-game win streak.
The Pirates lost their 4th straight game on Saturday and 11th of their last 12. The shutout continued their run of futility at the plate as they’re averaging just 1.5 runs per game over the last dozen games.
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Pirates at Orioles projected starters
RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Kyle Gibson
Keller (4-1, 2.72 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 49 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 2-0 Pirates home victory vs. Colorado Rockies Monday
- Only start vs Orioles: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 1-0 road defeat Aug. 5, 2022
Gibson (4-2, 4.40 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 47 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 3-0 setback vs. Tampa Bay Rays Monday
- Owns a 2-0 record with a 2.75 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and 9.2 K/9 in 3 career starts against the Pirates
Pirates at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-185) | Orioles -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Pirates at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 3, Pirates 1
Moneyline
PASS.
The Orioles (-145) will complete their home sweep of the Pirates on Sunday afternoon. Despite my confidence in Baltimore, it’s not worth it to risk nearly 1 1/2 units to win back only a unit. Look at the run line instead.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+140).
Ten of Baltimore’s last 11 wins have been by multiple runs. The Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. teams with winning records. Six of Pittsburgh’s last 7 losses have been by multiple runs. These teams are going in opposite directions, take advantage of that fact.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-105).
Pittsburgh cannot score runs at the moment. They have not been able to produce more than 3 runs in any of the last 12 games. While the Orioles have a potent offense, Keller has been the shining light in the Pirates rotation. He’ll keep Pittsburgh competitive and the Orioles under 5 runs in this game.
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