The New York Mets (1-1) face the Miami Marlins (1-1) Saturday in the 3rd game of a 4-game series at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1.
Miami came away with a 2-1 victory Friday to draw both of these squads back to .500 baseball. 1B Pete Alonso hit his first HR of the season in the 9th inning in Friday’s loss.
The Marlins LHP Jesus Luzardo notched 5 K and 0 ER in 5 2/3 IP in his season debut Friday. Miami’s 2 runs came from HRs by OF/2B Jazz Chisholm Jr. and OF/DH Jorge Soler.
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Mets at Marlins projected starters
RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Edward Cabrera
Megill posted a 4-2 record in 9 starts and 6 relief appearances during the 2022 season. He finished with a 5.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP.
- Hasn’t made a start since June 16 of last season vs. the Milwaukee Brewers as he ended the 2022 campaign in the bullpen.
- Allowed 2 or more ER in 6 of his 9 starts in 2022.
Cabrera registered a 6-4 record in 14 starts during the 2022 season, finishing with a 3.01 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 71 2/3 IP.
- Tallied 5 or more K’s in 8 of his 14 starts in 2022.
- Logged 6 or more IP in only 3 of his 14 starts last season.
Mets at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Marlins +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+140) | Marlins +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Mets at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Marlins 3
Moneyline
Following a loss to the Marlins on Friday, I’ll side with the METS (-120) to secure the victory on Saturday. Both teams have inexperienced pitchers on the mound, so I’ll take the better lineup in this NL East showdown.
Run line/Against the spread
METS -1.5 (+140) is the pick in this game with New York looking to avoid starting the season with a 1-2 record. Eight of the last 10 meetings between these clubs have been decided by 2 or more runs.
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Over/Under
Even though it’s early in the season and it’s a decently high total, OVER 8 -105) is how I’d wager. Both pitchers involved in this game are inexperienced and could allow a decent number of base runners and give way to the bullpen early.
We’ve seen 8 or more runs scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these teams.
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