The San Francisco Giants and New York Yankees swing into the 2023 season with a Thursday matinee at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since 2019 when the Yankees swept 3 games in San Francisco.
San Francisco went 81-81 and placed 3rd in the NL West last season. The Giants were 14-7 with a plus-40 in run differential in April, but struggled after that. The Giants were somewhat undone by a 22-27 record in 1-run games.
New York was a bit record-unlucky in 2022, only parlaying a plus-1.48 in average run differential into a 99-63 record. The Yankees logged a pedestrian 42-39 mark on the road, but they tied the Los Angeles Dodgers for the best home record in MLB at 57-24.
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Giants at Yankees projected starters
RHP Logan Webb vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Webb went 15-9 with a 2.90 ERA a year ago. He clocked a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 192 1/3 IP.
- Has allowed a .768 OPS in March/April games during his career (under .655 in each month May-August)
- Owned wide platoon splits last season, holding right-handed bats to a .548 OPS while yielding a .730 mark against lefties
Cole logged a 13-8 mark while posting a 3.50 ERA in 2022. The veteran right-hander notched a 1.02 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 200 2/3 IP.
- Struggled in 1st 3 starts last season: 6.35 ERA, .852 OPS allowed
- Registered a 3.20 ERA, 0.94 WHIP (with better BB/9 and K/9 numbers) at Yankee Stadium last year
Giants at Yankees odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:37 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Giants +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -125)
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Giants at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Giants 3
Moneyline
Webb logged a 1.61 WHIP while allowing 3 HR in spring training. Cole was much sharper, punching out 27 batters against 1 BB in 21 2/3 IP.
Spring training stats are misunderstood: They can be quite useful in early-season betting. And with New York holding better cards in the bullpen and lineup categories, there is some value edge in the YANKEES (-190).
Run line/Against the spread
With this top-shelf pitching matchup, temps in the low-40s and 2 fresh bullpens, expect a low scoring game. PASS on trying to get the Yankees by with a multi-run lean.
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Over/Under
Both clubs posted solid batting numbers in spring training, but the market is on to these starters. And the expected run-suppressant weather. AVOID.
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