The Atlanta Hawks (32-31) and Miami Heat (33-31) meet Saturday at Miami-Dade Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Hawks covered the spread as 8-point home favorites Friday with a 129-111 win vs. the Portland Trail Blazers. G Dejounte Murray scored a game-high 41 points for the Hawks, who have won 3 of their last 4 games. Atlanta is 14-12-1 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog this season.
The Heat failed to cover as 1-point home favorites Friday with a 122-120 loss vs. the New York Knicks. New York F Julius Randle hit the game-winning 3 with 1.1 seconds remaining as the Knicks handed Miami its 6th loss in its last 7 games. The Heat are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring 100 or more points in their previous contest.
The season series is tied 1-1 with the total splitting 1-1. Atlanta covered as a 1-point home favorite 121-113 as the Over (222.5) cashed in the most recent meeting Jan. 16.
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Hawks at Heat odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Hawks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Heat -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +2.5 (-110) | Heat -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Hawks at Heat key injuries
Hawks
- Not yet submitted
Heat
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For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Hawks at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Hawks 112, Heat 108
Moneyline
BET HAWKS (+120).
The Hawks are 8-4 in their last 12 away games when both G Trae Young and Murray are in the lineup. Atlanta is 2nd in offensive efficiency on the road this season and has won 3 of its last 4 games overall, with the 1 loss being by just 3 points vs. the improving Washington Wizards.
The Heat may come out flat Saturday after a deflating last-second loss vs. the Knicks last time out. Miami is just 26th in offensive efficiency this season and should struggle to match scoring with a Hawks team that has been trending upward lately.
Against the spread
PASS.
There is no need to take the points with the Hawks when Atlanta should win straight up at plus money. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 225.5 (-112).
Miami scored 120 points Friday for just the 1st time since the Heat’s 124-98 win at the New Orleans Pelicans Jan. 18. The Under is 21-7 in Miami’s last 28 games vs. teams with a winning record and 5-2 in the Heat’s last 7 when playing on the 2nd night of a back-to-back.
The Under has hit in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these teams and Miami’s offensive struggles should help the Under hit once again Saturday.
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