No. 18 Texas plays host to No. 4 TCU on Saturday night for an all-important Big 12 Conference slugfest.
Texas enters as the favorite in the ballgame despite the Longhorns being the lower-ranked team and TCU entering this matchup unbeaten on the year.
ESPN’s Football Power Index gives Texas 73% odds of beating TCU on Saturday. Vegas opened up the odds with a seven-point line in favor of Texas.
A deeper dive into the advanced metrics still gives the Longhorns the edge.
Football analyst Parker Fleming released his advanced stats preview earlier this week. His model projects Texas to take down the Horned Frogs about 33-30.
TCU @ TEXAS pic.twitter.com/VZDvgYHSxq
— parker (@statsowar) November 8, 2022
Not much separates Texas and TCU on paper.
Each team’s offense is in the upper echelon in success rate and net points per drive. Texas has the advantage of facing a TCU defense that struggles with the run game. TCU’s uptempo passing attack offers a mismatch vs. Texas’ secondary.
Expect a close game in Austin, Texas on Saturday night.
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