Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Rangers open their regular seasons Tuesday at Madison Square Garden. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Lightning at Rangers, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

This is a rematch of last season’s Eastern Conference Finals, which the Lightning won 4-2. After dropping the first 2 games of the series, Tampa Bay took the next 4 to advance to the Stanley Cup Final, which it lost to Colorado 4-2.

The Rangers were red-hot at MSG last season, riding a combination of solid goaltending and high-octane offense, which is often a recipe for success in the NHL. New York has won 35 of its past 51 games at MSG.

The Rangers beat the Lightning in all 3 regular-season games last season, 2 on the road and 1 at home – a 4-0 shutout Jan. 2.

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Lightning at Rangers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:14 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Lightning +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Rangers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Lightning +1.5 (-260) | Rangers -1.5 (+185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Lightning at Rangers projected goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (39-18-5, 2.49 GAA, .916 SV%, 2 SO in 2021-22) vs. Igor Shesterkin (36-13-4, 2.07 GAA, .935 SV%, 6 SO in 2021-22)

Vasilevskiy won 19 regular-season games on the road last season, going 19-10-1 with a 2.77 GAA and .912 SV%. However, he was 0-2-0 with a 3.03 GAA and .875 SV% in 2 regular-season starts vs. the Rangers.

Shesterkin emerged as a star in 2021-22, so much so that the team parted ways with dependable backup Alexandar Georgiev (now with Colorado). Igor was a rock at MSG, going 21-6-0 with a microscopic 1.85 GAA and .940 SV%. Plus, 5 of his 6 regular-season shutouts came in front of the home fans.

In his short career, Shesterkin is 3-0-0 with a 1.30 GAA, .958 SV% and 1 shutout in 3 regular-season games – all last season – vs. the Lightning.

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Lightning at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 3, Lightning 2

Moneyline

NEW YORK (-120) is worth playing, but the margin of error here is razor thin. These teams know each other well, and it is a budding rivalry thanks to their intense ECF series last spring. With these 2 superstar goalies, don’t expect either side to get very far ahead at any point.

Puck line/Against the spread

Lightning +1.5 (-260) is just too expensive if you’re expecting a close game like I am. You need to risk 2.6 times your potential return, and that’s never a good betting strategy, especially on Day 1. If you’re feeling Tampa (I’m not), just bet it straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

The UNDER 5.5 (-110) is a low number in this day and age, but goaltenders are typically ahead of the offense during the early going. This should be especially true with the two world-class backstops on display in this game. Expect goals to be at a premium at MSG Tuesday.

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