Miami Dolphins at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at New York Jets odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Dolphins (3-1) will square off against the New York Jets (2-2) on Sunday in Week 5 at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dolphins vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins have gotten off to an impressive 3-1 start under new coach Mike McDaniel. Miami is coming off its first loss of the season in Week 4, where they lost to the Cincinnati Bengals 27-15 on Thursday Night Football.

The Jets are in 3rd place in the AFC East with a 2-2 record, putting them behind the Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills. New York saw QB Zach Wilson make his season debut last week and despite a shaky start, he led the Jets to a 24-20 comeback victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Dolphins at Jets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dolphins -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Jets +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins -3.5 (-105) | Jets +3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dolphins at Jets key injuries

Dolphins

  • OT Terron Armstead (toe) questionable
  • WR Tyreek Hill (quad) questionable
  • CB Xavien Howard (groin) questionable
  • QB Tua Tagovailoa (head) out
  • WR Jaylen Waddle (groin) questionable

Jets

  • OT Duane Brown (shoulder) questionable
  • RB Breece Hall (knee) questionable
  • ILB Quincy Williams (ankle) doubtful

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Dolphins at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 24, Jets 17

Moneyline

Even with the expectation of the Dolphins winning on the road, I’ll PASS on the moneyline in this game. The odds for Miami to win aren’t worth taking straight up as the risk isn’t worth the return, especially with Tagovailoa out.

Against the spread

Despite not having Tagovailoa available, Miami does have a proven veteran in QB Teddy Bridgewater to operate the offense. Bridgewater should be able to keep the offense afloat, so DOLPHINS -3.5 (-105) is where I’m leaning in this matchup.

The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Jets in New York and they are 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings overall. Also, the Jets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up win.

Over/Under

UNDER 45.5 (-105) seems to be the ideal choice in this game with the Dolphins having to adjust to Bridgewater at quarterback. It’s also tough to consistently trust the Jets offense to put up enough points to hit the Over.

The Under has hit in 6 of Miami’s last 7 road games and the Under has hit in each of the last 5 meetings between the Dolphins and the Jets when the game is in New York.

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