The Miami Marlins (64-90) and New York Mets (97-58) wrap up a 2-game set Wednesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 12-6
The Marlins have won 3 of their last 4 games after a 6-4 win at the Mets Tuesday as a +190 underdog. Miami started quickly with 2 runs in the 1st inning vs. Mets starter RHP Carlos Carrasco when CF Bryan De La Cruz hit a sacrifice fly and RF Brian Anderson scored on a wild pitch.
The Mets fell into a 1st-place tie with the Atlanta Braves in the NL East after Tuesday’s loss. Carrasco allowed 4 ER on 6 H with 2 K through 3 IP in the loss. New York 1B Pete Alonso became the first Met with two 40-HR seasons after hitting a 3-run HR in the 4th inning.
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Marlins at Mets projected starters
LHP Jesús Luzardo vs. RHP Taijuan Walker
Luzardo (3-7, 3.57 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 88 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision vs. the Chicago Cubs last Wednesday with 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 11 K
- Only start vs. Mets this season: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 3 K on Sept. 11
Walker (12-5, 3.53 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 148 IP.
- Last start: Lost Wednesday at the Milwaukee Brewers with 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 3 K
- 2022 vs. Miami: 4-0 with a 2.23 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 8 ER) in 5 starts
Marlins at Mets odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:37 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Marlins +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Mets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-140) | Mets -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)
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Marlins at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Marlins 1
Money line
PASS.
Mets (-200) money line should hit, but there is better value on the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET METS -1.5 (+115).
Don’t expect Miami to be competitive in this meeting since Walker has owned the Marlins in 2022. Miami’s upset win Tuesday also presents a good opportunity to fade them in a short 2-game series.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 6.5 (+110).
Walker’s dominance over Miami this season should help this game stay under the total. While Luzardo will give up a few runs to the Mets, it shouldn’t be enough to put the Under in danger.
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