The San Francisco Giants (65-70) and Milwaukee Brewers (71-65) will jam a quick 2-game series into 1 day. The 1st game of the doubleheader is set to begin at 4:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Giants lead 4-1
The Giants have lost 2 out of their first 3 on this 8-game road trip and are now 17-27 since the All-Star break.
The Brewers are returning home after a road trip to Arizona and Colorado where they won just 2 of 7 games.
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Giants at Brewers projected starters
LHP Scott Alexander vs. RHP Corbin Burnes
Alexander (0-0, 1.69 ERA) makes his 6th appearance and 1st start of the season, and just the 2nd start of his 8-year career. He has a 0.56 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 5 1/3 IP.
- Has been getting strikeouts in this year’s small sample, but over the previous 3 seasons had a low 5.2 K/9 in 59 appearances
- This will be a short stint for Alexander, who hasn’t topped 20 pitches in an outing all season. He’ll give way to Jakob Junis, who has gone 5-plus innings just twice in his last 8 starts with a 5.40 ERA over that span
Burnes (9-6, 3.02 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 164 IP.
- Has faced the Giants twice already, allowing just 1 ER in 14 IP with a 21/5 K/BB.
- Boasts a 3.28 ERA and 12.2 K/9 in 14 home starts, but has had some issues with the long ball (1.4 HR/9) in Milwaukee.
Giants at Brewers odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:07 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Giants +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Brewers -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-130) | Brewers -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Giants at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 5, Giants 3
Money line
Burnes has been dominant throughout most of the season, but has hit a rough patch. He has allowed 14 ER in 15 1/3 IP in his last 3 starts and until we see him regain his form, laying more than 2:1 is a bit too steep. PASS on the money line.
Run line/Against the spread
Though Burnes has struggled lately, he should get back on track in short order. He is in a good spot to do so against a San Francisco team that has been reeling.
Junis has been better than his recent ERA would suggest, as a .354 BABIP played a role in his inflated ERA during the aforementioned 8-start span. But he probably won’t provide a lot of length and Milwaukee hits well at home, ranking 9th in runs per game (4.64). Look for the BREWERS -1.5 (+105) to come out on top by multiple runs.
Over/Under
The over is 7-1-2 in the last 10 games for the Giants and has hit in each of Burnes’ last 4 starts. Burnes hasn’t been at his best lately and can’t be counted on to completely shut the Giants down, so look for this total to push OVER 7.5 (-115).
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