The Arizona Diamondbacks (65-69) face the San Diego Padres (74-62) in the second game of their 3-game road series Tuesday. First pitch from Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Padres lead 9-4
The Diamondbacks shut out the Padres 5-0 in the opener Monday. Rookie RHP Ryne Nelson pitched 7 scoreless innings in his MLB debut to lead the Diamondbacks to their 9th win in their last 11 games.
The Padres have lost 3 straight games but won 6 of the 7 games prior to the skid. They have dominated the Diamondbacks this season, winning 9 of 13 games.
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Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters
RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Joe Musgrove
Kelly (12-5, 2.84 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 164 2/3 IP.
- Is 1-0 against the Padres in 2022 with a 0.90 ERA over 2 starts.
- Allowed 2 or fewer runs in 16 starts this season.
Musgrove (9-6, 3.01 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 149 1/3 IP.
- Recorded a win at Arizona April 9 with 2 ER over 6 IP
- The Padres are 16-8 in his starts
Diamondbacks at Padres odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:11 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Padres -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160) | Padres -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +112 | U: -140)
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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 4, Padres 3
Money line
The Diamondbacks have been playing good baseball and have been getting great outings from their starters. Kelly didn’t allow a run in his last start and their starters have not allowed a run in their last 2 games. Arizona is 9-2 in its last 11 games.
The Padres have been consistently good when Musgrove pitches.
In a game where the final outcome could go either way because of good pitching, take the value here. BET the DIAMONDBACKS (+140).
Run line/Against the spread
The Padres have baseball’s worst home ATS record at 21-43 ATS.
The Diamondbacks are 39-24 ATS on the road this season, the 4th-best mark in all of baseball. They are 79-55 ATS overall this season, the 3rd-best mark in the league.
This one is probably the surer bet but pays out less. If you aren’t as confident with the money line, take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-160).
Over/Under
Nine of the 13 games between these teams have had 7 or fewer total runs.
Four of the Diamondbacks’ last 5 games have had 7 or fewer runs.
Take UNDER 7.5 (-140).
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