The Miami Marlins (55-78) and Philadelphia Phillies (73-61) open a 3-game series Tuesday at 6:45 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 8-5
The Marlins have lost 7 straight games. Miami owns a whiff-heavy .468 OPS over that stretch. The Fish are just 7-21 since Aug. 5.
The Phillies have pitched their way to 6 losses in their last 7 games. Philadelphia hurlers own a Boeing 7.51 ERA over that stretch.
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Marlins at Phillies projected starters
LHP Jesus Luzardo vs. RHP Aaron Nola
Luzardo (3-6, 3.44 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 65 1/3 IP.
- Has allowed just 3 ER in his last 20 1/3 IP on the road; owns a 2.54 ERA in 39 road IP
- Has pitched 6 innings or more in 3 of his last 4 starts
Nola (9-11, 3.43 ERA) has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 170 2/3 IP in 26 starts.
- Stumbled and allowed 8 R in his last outing; owns a 4.30 ERA in his last 7 starts
- Has a 2.73 ERA in his last 5 starts against Miami
Marlins at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:34 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Marlins +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Phillies -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-125) | Phillies -1.5 (+102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Marlins 2
Money line
Philadelphia is swung around to its best platoon numbers against left-handers. Nola is backed by a rested bullpen and has excellent numbers against this Miami club.
Its takes a certain bankroll to leverage plays that are minus-200-something. But that does not mean leverage can’t be found. PASS on the current tag, but consider the Phillies as a price of -220 or better.
Run line/Against the spread
The Under is likely the best play here, so normally that does not jibe with run-line favorite at home. But the price here is enticing: consider a partial-unit play on PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+102).
Over/Under
Likable starters. Rested bullpens. Philly has averaged 5.33 runs per game over its last couple homestands, but the Phils are at home for an opener after a road trip. That has been cause for more than a few flat efforts the last few months.
BET THE UNDER 6.5 (+100).
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