The No. 2 seed UCLA Bruins (25-6, 15-5 Pac-12) are favored by 6 points when they face off the No. 3 seed USC Trojans (26-6, 14-6 Pac-12) in the Pac-12 Tournament Friday at T-Mobile Arena, starting at 11:30 PM. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the Pac-12 championship.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
UCLA has gone 17-13-1 against the spread, while USC’s ATS record this season is 15-18-0. The Bruins have a 16-14-1 record hitting the over, while games involving the Trojans have a record of 15-18-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 147.2 points per game, 12.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, UCLA is 7-3-0 against the spread and 7-3 overall while USC has gone 3-7-0 against the spread and 7-3 overall.
Ahead of this Pac-12 matchup, here is everything you need to prepare for Friday’s college basketball action.
USC at UCLA odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- Spread: UCLA -6
- Total: 134.5
- Moneyline: UCLA -254, USC +206
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USC at UCLA odds, spread, & more
Prediction
UCLA 72, USC 65
Moneyline
- The Bruins have been favored on the moneyline 28 total times this season. They’ve finished 24-4 in those games.
- UCLA has a record of 22-2 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -254 or shorter (91.7%).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Bruins have an implied win probability of 71.8%.
- The Trojans have won four of the seven games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- USC has been at least a +206 moneyline underdog two times this season, and lost all of those games.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 32.7% chance of a victory for the Trojans.
Against the spread
- The 74.2 points per game the Bruins record are 8.4 more points than the Trojans allow (65.8).
- UCLA is 16-8-1 against the spread and 21-3 overall when scoring more than 65.8 points.
- When USC gives up fewer than 74.2 points, it is 14-11 against the spread and 24-2 overall.
- The Trojans score 10.7 more points per game (73) than the Bruins give up to opponents (62.3).
- USC is 13-12 against the spread and 21-5 overall when it scores more than 62.3 points.
- UCLA has an ATS record of 15-7-1 and a 21-2 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 73 points.
- The Bruins have out-scored their opponents by a total of 370 points this season (11.9 points per game on average), and the Trojans have put up 230 more points than their opponents on the year (7.2 per game).
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Over/Under
- The Bruins’ average implied point total this season is 5.6 more points than their implied total in Friday’s game (75.6 implied points on average compared to 70 implied points in this game).
- So far this season, UCLA has put up more than 70 points in a game 22 times.
- The Trojans’ implied point total in this matchup (64 points) equals the team’s season average.
- This year, USC has put up more than 64 points in a game 26 times.
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