A pair of streaking teams meet when the No. 2 Duke Blue Devils (26-4, 16-3 ACC) host the North Carolina Tar Heels (22-8, 14-5 ACC) on Saturday, March 5, 2022 at 6:00 PM ET. The Tar Heels are 12.5-point underdogs and will try to keep their seven-game win streak intact against the Blue Devils, who have won seven straight. Below, we analyze the Duke vs. North Carolina odds and lines around this contest.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Duke’s record against the spread so far this season is 18-11-1, and North Carolina’s is 14-15-1. The Blue Devils have gone over the point total in 15 games, while Tar Heels games have gone over 18 times. Duke has a 6-4-0 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall over the past 10 contests. North Carolina has gone 6-3-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 contests.
Before this ACC matchup, here is what you need to get ready for Saturday’s college hoops action.
North Carolina at Duke odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- Spread: Duke -12.5
- Moneyline: Duke -899, North Carolina +600
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North Carolina at Duke odds, spread, & more
Prediction
Duke 79, North Carolina 68
Moneyline
- The Blue Devils have been the moneyline favorite 29 total times this season. They’ve gone 25-4 in those games.
- Duke has a 13-1 record (winning 92.9% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -899 or shorter.
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Blue Devils have an implied win probability of 90.0%.
- This season, the Tar Heels have been the underdog seven times and won two of those games.
- North Carolina has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +600 moneyline set for this game.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 14.3% chance of a victory for the Tar Heels.
Against the spread
- The Blue Devils score 7.9 more points per game (80.3) than the Tar Heels allow (72.4).
- Duke is 17-4-1 against the spread and 20-2 overall when scoring more than 72.4 points.
- When North Carolina allows fewer than 80.3 points, it is 13-7-1 against the spread and 19-2 overall.
- The Tar Heels put up 13.0 more points per game (78.1) than the Blue Devils give up (65.1).
- North Carolina is 13-12-1 against the spread and 20-7 overall when it scores more than 65.1 points.
- Duke’s record is 17-9-1 against the spread and 24-3 overall when it gives up fewer than 78.1 points.
- The Blue Devils have totaled a total of 458 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 15.2 per game), and the Tar Heels have out-scored opponents by 171 points on the season (5.7 more per game).
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How to watch Duke vs. North Carolina
- Game Day: Saturday, March 5, 2022
- Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
Find out how to watch for free with fuboTV.
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