The Miami Heat (18-12) travel to Little Caesars Arena Sunday to take on the Detroit Pistons (4-24). Tip-off is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Heat at Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Heat are coming into this game following a 10-point victory over the Orlando Magic.
Just about every team is shorthanded right now, and the Heat are no different, down their two key players on both sides of the ball. G Kyle Lowry is active though. The Heat, at 18-12, are one of the best covering teams in the NBA.
The Pistons, on the other hand, are not. At 13-15, it hasn’t been profitable to bet on Detroit. As home underdogs, they’re 5-6. Detroit will be led by G Cade Cunningham with star F Jerami Grant expected to be sidelined.
Heat at Pistons odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 1 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Heat -320 (bet $320 to win $100) | Pistons +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -6.5 (-122) | Pistons +6.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Heat at Pistons key injuries
Heat
- C Bam Adebayo (thumb) out
- F Jimmy Butler (tailbone) out
- G Tyler Herro (quadriceps) questionable
Pistons
- Not submitted yet
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Heat at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 108, Pistons 99
Money line
PASS on the money line. I don’t like a favorite down their two best players at -320. I’d rather play the points for far better value.
Against the spread
BET on the HEAT -6.5 (-122) as the best value in this match. Miami has had several players step up without Adebayo and Butler. Lowry’s leadership will be the difference in this game.
With Max Strus red hot, having dropped 32 against the Magic, the Heat should have all it takes to win this game with ease.
The Pistons are the second-worst shooting team and fifth-worst turnover team. They just haven’t put it together behind Cunningham. The Heat have an efficient offense and rank 11th in defensive rating.
Overall, Miami is fifth in net rating. They’re a complete, deep team. They should be able to blowout Detroit.
Over/Under
“LEAN” to the UNDER 208.5 (-108) as I don’t expect Gabe Vincent and Strus to combine for 59 points in this one.
The Heat should come out on top and cover, but they should want to slow this game down and play it at their pace. The Heat have the third-slowest pace in the league, and they’ll likely use that to their advantage.
With the Pistons not a great shooting team, while also turning the ball over often and the Heat typically slowing things down, I’d bet on the Under in this one.
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