The San Diego Padres (66-53) play the finale of a four-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (38-80) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Diamondbacks won the first three games of the series, including a 7-0 no-hitter Saturday by Tyler Gilbert in his first major-league start. Arizona is seeking their second series sweep at home of the season.
Padres RHP Craig Stammen (5-3, 3.31 ERA) makes his third start of the season and his 52nd appearance. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 65 1/3 IP.
- This will be his third time serving as an “opener” for the Padres. He hasn’t pitched more than 2 innings in any appearance.
- Allowed the game-winning home run to Daulton Varsho in the ninth inning Friday.
Diamondbacks RHP Zac Gallen (1-6, 4.87 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 68 1/3 IP.
- He has lost his last six decisions and the Diamondbacks have dropped 10 of his last 11 starts.
- He has an ERA of 7.06 in his last four outings.
Padres at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:02 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Padres -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+100) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Prediction
Padres 6, Diamondbacks 3
Money line (ML)
The Padres have lost four games in a row and their last four on the road. They have been swept only twice all season with one sweep coming on the road. San Diego won both games Stammen has opened previously.
The Diamondbacks have just two series sweeps on the year and have only won four games in a row twice. Gallen has struggled and the Diamondbacks have lost 10 of his last 11 starts.
Take the PADRES (-160).
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Padres are 59-60 ATS overall and 28-27 ATS on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last five games and are 6-9 ATS against the Diamondbacks this season.
Arizona is 58-60 ATS overall but has the fourth-highest home cover percentage in the league at 55.9%. The D-Backs have covered the spread in four of their last five games and all three games of this series. They have only had two ATS win streaks of more than three games on the year: when they covered four straight games July 18-21 and eight straight April 18-27.
Take the PADRES -1.5 (+100).
Over/Under (O/U)
Nearly 60% of the games at Chase Field have gone Over the projected total this season.
Three of the last four Gallen starts have had at least 10 total runs. However, only three of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 games have had totals of 10 or more.
Only four of the last 13 for the Padres have totals of 10 or more.
Take UNDER 9.5 (-122).
For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]