The San Francisco Giants (45-26) host the Philadelphia Phillies (34-34) Sunday for the rubber match of their three-game series at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Philly evened the series by crushing San Francisco 13-6 Saturday as 1B Rhys Hoskins showed out, hitting 3-for-6 with a double, two home runs and six RBIs.
Season series: Giants lead 3-2.
RHP Zach Eflin is on the mound for the Phillies. Eflin is 2-5 with a 3.99 ERA (79 IP, 35 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 across 13 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 2 K in Philly’s 5-3 loss at the Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday.
- Eflin had a no-decision in a start earlier this season (April 21) vs. the Giants with a stat line of 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 3 K in a 6-5 Philly loss.
- vs. Giants on the current roster: 64 at-bats with a .313/.371/.531 slash line, 11/6 K/BB, 3 HR and 12 RBIs.
Rookie LHP Sammy Long makes his first career start for the Giants. Long has made two relief appearances this season with a stat line of 9 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 10 K.
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Phillies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Phillies +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Giants -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Giants -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Phillies 7, Giants 4
Money line (ML)
“LEAN” to the PHILLIES (+105) for a half unit since I like Philly’s First 5 Innings run line price and because the Phillies have an edge in the pitching matchup and the market movement.
Eflin, who’s usually an innings eater, hasn’t pitched past the 6th inning in two of his previous three outings after beginning the season with 10 straight starts of six or more innings pitched.
Also, the Giants opened up as -160 money line favorites but have been moved down to the current number despite a vast majority of the bets being placed on San Francisco to win. In sports betting, it’s a red flag when the “House” makes the more popular side cheaper.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
“LEAN” to the PHILLIES FIRST 5 INNINGS +0.5 (-135) for a half unit. This is the best bet I have for this game because Eflin has pitched at least five innings in 12 of his 13 starts. So, we shouldn’t have to sweat Philly’s terrible bullpen.
Also, San Francisco’s bullpen isn’t much better as it ranks 26th in WAR on the season. So, Philly’s hot hitting could certainly rake the Giants relievers.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-105) for a half unit. The weather forecast is predicting 10 mph winds blowing out to left-center field and the Phillies have played to the Over in four of their last five games.
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