The Atlanta Braves (24-26) and New York Mets (25-20) wrap up a two-game series tonight on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
2021 series: Mets lead 3-1
Friday’s opener was rained out and the Mets beat the Braves 13-2 Saturday behind a season-high 5 homers.
LHP Max Fried is the Braves’ projected starter for Sunday. He is 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA (35 IP, 18 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 7 starts this season.
- Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 7-1 home victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on May 23
- Career vs. Mets: 3-2, 2.73 ERA (56 IP, 17 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 9 starts and 5 relief appearances
- 2021 vs. Mets: 0-1, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-1 home loss May 17
RHP Jacob deGrom is the Mets’ projected starter. He is 3-2 with a 0.80 ERA (45 IP, 4 ER), 0.60 WHIP, 14.8 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 7 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 9 K vs. Colorado Rockies on May 25 (Mets won 3-1)
- Career vs. Braves: 8-7, 1.94 ERA (148 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 23 starts
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Braves at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:21 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Braves +1.5 (-225) | Mets -1.5 (+180)
- Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Mets 2, Braves 1
Money line (ML)
NEW YORK (-125) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Both starting pitchers are coming off solid outings, but a line like this on deGrom, the majors’ ERA leader, is too good pass up.
Plus, Atlanta is without LF Marcell Ozuna, who landed on the injured list Friday with two dislocated fingers. Ozuna led the NL with 18 homers last season. In off-the-field news, the two-time All-Star was arrested Saturday on charges of aggravated assault by strangulation and battery.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS. Both clubs are under .500 ATS this season with the Braves owning the third-worst ATS record among all 30 MLB teams.
ATS records: Braves 19-31 | Mets 21-24
Over/Under (O/U)
Back UNDER 5.5 (+100) to WIN A HALF UNIT. Toss out deGrom’s first start of 2021, which went Over by a half run, and he’s 0-5-1 O/U for the season. Meanwhile, the Under is 4-2-1 in Fried’s starts, including 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts.
O/U records: Mets 18-23-2 | Braves 27-21-2
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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 53-51-2 | 17-18-1 | -1.66 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 156-137-3 | 66-60-1 | +10.24 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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