The San Diego Padres (8-3) and Pittsburgh Pirates (3-7) play the second contest of their four-game PNC Park series at 6:35 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Blake Snell is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. Through two starts, the Ray-turned-Padre is 0-0 with a 1.86 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 14.9 K/9 and 5.6 BB/9 in 9 2/3 IP.
RHP Chad Kuhl is the projected starter for the Pirates. Through his first two efforts, Kuhl is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 10.3 BB/9 in 7 IP. The 28-year-old righty walked five in his last outing, a four-inning turn against Cincinnati Wednesday.
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Padres at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Pirates +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
- Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-135) | Pirates +1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Padres 5, Pirates 4
Money line (ML)
PASS: The prices here bracket the likely true odds.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Padres won the series opener, 6-2, and are now 4-0 in road games against the run line. But the Friars (4.09 runs per game) and Bucs (3.60) rank 20th and 23rd in scoring, respectively. San Diego was a decent play with Monday’s pitching matchup, and the Padres have taken on the early money in this one.
But now the value pendulum swings back the other way, and there is contrarian leverage with the price on Pittsburgh. TAKE THE PIRATES +1.5 (+110). A line-watch for an even better tag is recommended.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over had a slight lean in what was a push (on an 8) Monday. The weather for Tuesday calls for a temp in the high-60s and an outward breeze.
Mix in Tuesday’s starters, Monday’s bullpen use and Tuesday’s lack of change in the number to get our result.
TAKE THE OVER 8 (-105).
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