Maryland at Penn State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Maryland Terrapins at Penn State Nittany Lions sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Maryland Terrapins (1-1 overall, 1-1 Big Ten) pay a visit to Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (0-2, 0-2) Saturday. Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Maryland-Penn State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Maryland at Penn State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Maryland +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Penn State -1667 (bet $1667 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Maryland +25 (-115) | Penn State -25 (-106)
  • Over/Under: 64.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Maryland at Penn State: Three things to know

  1. Maryland defeated Penn State in the first Big Ten meeting between the two schools in 2014. Since then, the Nittany Lions have gone 5-0 straight up (4-1 against the spread) against the Terrapins, and the last few meetings haven’t been even remotely close. PSU downed the Terps 59-0 last year, and the Lions have outscored their neighbors to the southeast, 163-6, over the last three games in the series (2017-19).
  2. The Terrapins are coming off a 45-44 overtime win over Minnesota. Maryland overcame 10 penalties (97 yards) and a minus-2 in turnover margin to register its first Big Ten win since Oct. 5, 2019 (a stretch of nine games). The Terps managed to score 38 points in regulation despite not scoring over the middle two frames in the contest. Maryland had averaged just 12.4 points per game over its eight-game conference skid.
  3. Penn State will be looking to get its scuffling ground game on track against a UM defense that has been gashed for 293.5 rushing yards per game (113th FBS) through two weeks of action. PSU was held to 1.6 yards per carry in the team’s 38-25 loss to Ohio State last week. The Lions had logged 250 yards the week before against Indiana and over their last four games against the Terps have averaged a robust 292.3 per contest.

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Maryland at Penn State: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Penn State 45, Maryland 17

Money line (ML)

Penn State gave a solid showing last week against a top-3 Ohio State team. The Lions put together three 75-yard touchdown drives in the game, and they were within one score (21-13) of the Buckeyes mid-way through the third quarter. In its overtime loss against Indiana the week before, PSU outgained the Hoosiers, 488-211. The Lions were somewhat undone by 10 penalties (100 yards) and by three IU regulation scoring drives under 45 yards.

A side this lopsided usually gets dismissed in the money line arena, but the -1667 tag is fair.

Against the spread (ATS)

There is value on the home side — an angry 0-2 tweam with a big talent advantage — up to 26 points. BACK THE NITTANY LIONS -25 (-106).

Over/Under (O/U)

Recent Beaver Stadium games with PSU favored by multiple scores have trended toward the UNDER 64.5 (-110), and THAT’S THE SOLID LEAN with two teams not proficient in punching through for six in the red zone.

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