Travis Kelce Receptions

Over-Under 5.5

San Francisco has given up 4.44 receptions per game to tight ends this season. Their season-high given up is nine but they’ve only given up more than five receptions to a tight end six times — including the playoffs.

But they haven’t faced anyone of Kelce’s caliber because the other best tight end in the NFL happens to play in San Francisco. Kelce is a huge part of the offense and is still one of Mahomes’ main targets. He has been dropping the ball recently — or at least it feels that way — so there is some concern with the over here.

Here’s the thought process: San Francisco will either focus their efforts stopping Kelce or stopping Hill. If we take the Hill over, we may want to take the Kelce under. Seems fair. Kelce will catch five passes, which means it’s the under.