The Cleveland Guardians (13-15) and New York Yankees (15-14) open a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium on Monday with the 1st pitch set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-1
Cleveland is on a 6-game road trip that opened with 3 games in Boston. The Guardians dropped 2 of those 3 to the Red Sox, including 7-1 on Sunday, and are just 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
New York was hammered by the Texas Rangers 15-2 on Sunday and has lost 3 straight games and is just 2-6 in its last 8 games. Slugging OF Aaron Judge missed weekend games in Texas (day-to-day, hip), and his absence has made an already pedestrian Yankees offense look even less dangerous.
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Guardians at Yankees projected starters
RHP Cal Quantrill vs. RHP Domingo German
Quantrill (1-2, 5.40 ERA) is starting his 6th game. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 25 IP.
- Owns a 3.63 ERA, 1.24 WHIP through 118 career games
- Has held current New York bats to an aggregate .571 OPS
German (2-2, 5.54 ERA) is making his 6th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 26 IP.
- Has held current Cleveland bats to an aggregate .688 OPS
- Has been torched by the long ball this spring: has yielded 5 HRs in his last 2 starts and 7 overall
Guardians at Yankees odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Guardians +108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Yankees -126 (bet $126 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-182) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Guardians 4
Moneyline
Figure a rebound for German, who wasn’t great against Cleveland on April 10 (3 IP, 2R, 5 BB) but has pitched well against the Guardians in the past.
The Yanks have played a tough slate pitching-wise, and their batting numbers have some regression likely due that helps the attack. The Guardians have had an easy slate for their pitchers. Expect their runs-allowed figures to climb.
All the performance-vs.-expectation in the middle? It’s mostly leaning home team for this series. BACK THE YANKEES (-126).
Run line/Against the spread
The lean is on the Yankees, but we should want at least a +155 return. PASS.
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Over/Under
The Yanks bullpen has gotten by with a .253 batting average on balls in play. The Cleveland pen has logged a .254 BABIP. Both are living dangerously, and there is some overall lean toward better days for the New York offense.
BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-112).
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