[mm-video type=video id=01grv4v2x4wyptj7d4c0 playlist_id=none player_id=01evcg1x9ny8tb834m image=https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/video/thumbnail/mmplus/01grv4v2x4wyptj7d4c0/01grv4v2x4wyptj7d4c0-743758a4b12e31601ecda36d683c3428.jpg]
The Kansas City Chiefs (16-3) meet the Philadelphia Eagles (16-3) at Super Bowl LVII Sunday. Kickoff from State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., is at 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s odds for Kenneth Gainwell’s Super Bowl prop bets, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
RB Kenneth Gainwell, the former standout at the University of Memphis, has really emerged as a useful weapon in the Eagles’ 2 postseason games. He especially raised some eyebrows with 112 rushing yards on 12 carries in the playoff blowout win against the New York Giants.
However, Gainwell’s yardage total was a result of a lopsided game, as was his total in the win over the San Francisco 49ers (48 yards, 14 carries). This isn’t going to be a blowout.
Gainwell’s usage was up because of a number of factors, including that QB Jalen Hurts was being treated with kid gloves, as he was making his way back from an ankle. The Eagles were well ahead for a good chunk of both games, so Gainwell saw more touches than he normally might see. I think he returns to more of a reserve role in a much closer game.
[tipico]
[betwidget_gambbetmgmsb]
[betwidget_gambfanduelsb]
Kenneth Gainwell 2023 Super Bowl prop bets
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:30 a.m. ET.
Rushing yards: UNDER 19.5 (-115)
Gainwell rushed for 35 yards on 5 carries in the regular-season finale against the G-Men while rolling up 112 yards against them again in the NFC Divisional Round. He followed up with a solid 48 yards in the NFC Championship Game against the 49ers. As such, this looks like a slam-dunk play, right?
Well, this won’t be a blowout, and I expect Gainwell’s touches to be sliced in half — if not more. He will certainly be back to single-digit rushing attempts, and he’ll take a backseat in the rushing picture to Hurts and RB Miles Sanders.
Take UNDER 19.5 (-115).
FOOTBALL NEVER STOPS
Live games, analysis and more 7 days a week: Get ESPN+
Receiving yards: OVER 11.5 (-115)
If Gainwell makes an impact in this game, especially with a healthy gain, it will be catching the ball out of the backfield.
I expect his rushing impact to be minimal, but I can see him squirting free for a decent game out of the backfield. He has averaged 11.7 yards per reception on 3 catches in the postseason, and he had 23 catches during the regular season for an average of 7.3 yards per catch. It won’t take much for Gainwell to go Over this total.
Take OVER 11.5 (-115)
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Receptions: OVER 1.5 (-145)
Gainwell had 2 receptions on 3 targets against the 49ers in the NFC title game, and he has posted 2 or more catches in 4 of his last 6 outings.
He isn’t likely to make an impact in the run game, but 2 or more grabs aren’t a huge stretch. However, laying this kind of number is a moderate risk for not that great of a return, so it’s not my favorite prop.
Take OVER 1.5 (-145)
Touchdown(s)
- Anytime (+260) | 2+: (+2500) | 3+: (+10000)
I don’t like Gainwell to see enough touches to make an impact, especially in terms of touchdowns. He had a rushing score against the Giants in the playoff game, but that score came in the final 2 minutes of a 38-7 blowout.
This isn’t going to be a blowout. Gainwell has been held out of the end zone in 7 of his past 8 games, with that lone garbage-time TD.
AVOID.
Rushing yards
- 40+: (+350) | 50+: (+1000) | 60+: (+1200)
Gainwell isn’t going to see enough touches to sniff any of these numbers, barring an absolute disaster that claimed Sanders and perhaps Hurts, too.
Since I don’t see this being a blowout, affording Gainwell more rushing attempts, there is no reason to pursue this.
AVOID.
More 2023 Super Bowl coverage
- Odds, picks and predictions for the big game
- QB props: Patrick Mahomes | Jalen Hurts
- Cheat sheet: Picks and predictions galore
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Access more NFL coverage:
BetFTW | TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | ColtsWire | CommandersWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | ListWire
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1367]