4. UMass at Toledo
LINES Toledo -28
ATS PICK Toledo
I need to get away from picking against tried-and-true standbys UConn, Kansas, and UMass, but if you’re going to keep throwing reasonable numbers out there, it would be rude not to take them.
UMass lost last week 42-10, and the only reason it wasn’t far worse is because Tulane chilled out in the fourth quarter. Even then the win was 32.
Don Brown is a strong coach. He led UMass to big things back when it was in the FCS, and now he’s back and has a ton of work to do.
What’s the problem here? 4-of-11. That’s what the UMass quarterbacks did against a Tulane secondary that isn’t exactly Alabama. Three takeaways helped the Green Wave pull away, but the offense didn’t have any issues getting things moving.
So why the relatively low number for a Toledo team with the firepower to call its own final score in this?
37-0, It had no problem whatsoever with LIU last week, but the spread was 49.5, and I’m guessing investors are a tad spooked.
There’s no need to get too weird here. The Toledo defense allowed 113 yards of offense against the Sharks, QB Dequan Finn and the Rocket offense might as well have been passing against air – and the running game is sure to average five yards per carry.