7. Notre Dame at Virginia
LINE 64.5 point total
ATS PICK Over
You’ve got some pregame work to do on this one – it starts at 7:30 ET.
There’s a reason this is at 64.5 instead of about 75 – Virginia QB Brennan Armstrong is iffy with injured ribs.
He hurt them in the 66-49 loss at BYU, but he’s had two weeks off to rest up. While he’s a tough guy’s tough guy, he’s 50/50.
That’s the reason the line went from around Notre Dame -5 to -6. Like that either way – the Irish are better – and the 64.5 will rocket up fast if Armstrong is a full go.
Like the over no matter what thanks to a Virginia defense that should give up 40 points before it hits the field.
Here’s the other key part – Notre Dame isn’t dumb. It’s still pushing for the College Football Playoff, and after scoring 31 or more in each of the last four games, it’s going to crank up whatever style points it can get on a bad Cavalier D.
– Week 11 Schedule, Game Times, Game Previews
6. Miami at Florida State
LINE Miami -2.5
ATS PICK Miami
Yeah, Florida State has been flaky enough to be great at home in a 33-30 win over Syracuse and on the road in a ten-point shocker against North Carolina. One collapse against Jacksonville State aside, the team is a bit better than the 3-6 record.
And yeah, it’s okay to be scared of a Miami team that plays so many close games.
And yeah, you should probably stay away if you’re counting on a team to win in a possible walk-off field goal.
However, Miami is playing too well offensively, the run defense has bee great over the last three weeks, and it should be able to roll through an FSU defense that gave up over 300 yards to NC State’s Devin Leary last week.
It’s Miami, and it’s Florida State. If field goals mean nothing to you in this matchup, I can’t help you.
Miami will win by a field goal.
And now the road trip is on …