5. Boise State at Nevada
LINE Boise State -20.5
PICK Boise State
Boise State has messed with me all year. The Mountain West has messed with me all year.
I’m very, very due.
Sort of like the Air Force call over New Mexico, one team can run, and the other team is going to struggle to stop the run. It’s not going to be any more complicated than that, except that Boise State’s defense has been totally dominant in Mountain West play.
Forget the strange loss to BYU last week – all of a sudden the Cougars realized they’re supposed to be good. Boise State has yet to allow more than 271 yards of total offense in Mountain West play, and it’s dominating.
It beat Colorado State by 39. Dropped Fresno State by 20, rumbled by San Diego State by 24, and stuffed New Mexico by 17.
Everyone spends so much time throwing on Nevada that they forget to run, but Boise State’s revamped ground attack should hit 200 yards without a problem, and the defense will take care of the rest.
Speaking of being due …