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The Texas Rangers and Arizona Diamondbacks play Game 4 of the 2023 World Series on Tuesday. First pitch from Chase Field in Phoenix is scheduled for 8:03 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
World Series: Rangers lead 2-1
The Rangers scored 3 runs in the top of the 3rd inning, and the big blow was a 2-run homer by SS Corey Seager. He is well on his way to earning World Series MVP honors if the Rangers end up bringing home the trophy. LHP Jon Gray came on for the relief win after RHP Max Scherzer exited in the 4th inning with a tight back.
The Diamondbacks were able to cobble together just 3 singles and 3 doubles, although Arizona did outhit Texas 6-5.
Texas remained perfect on the road in the postseason (9-0), while it is just 2-4 at home. The Under cashed in Game 3, snapping a 7-0-1 run to the Over for the Rangers.
Arizona slipped to 3-2 at home in the postseason, dropping the past 2 outings. The Under cashed, and it is 4-2 in the past 6 games overall. At home, the Under is 4-1 in 5 outings in the playoffs to date.
Rangers at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Andrew Heaney vs. LHP Joe Mantiply
Heaney was 10-6 with a 4.15 ERA in 28 regular-season starts and 6 relief appearances. He had a 1.38 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 147 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 10-3 loss vs. the Houston Astros in Game 4 of the ALCS
- 2023 road splits: 3-3, 4.29 ERA (63 IP, 30 ER), 13 HR in 12 starts and 3 relief appearances
- Making 3rd career postseason start and 6th overall appearance
Mantiply made 4 starts in the regular season and 32 relief appearances, going 2-2 with a 4.62 ERA. He had a 1.13 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 39 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 6-5 win vs. the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 4 of the NLCS
- 2023 home splits: 1-0, 3.44 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 0 HR in 1 regular-season start and 15 relief appearances
- Making 2nd career postseason start and 9th overall appearance
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Rangers at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:17 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -106 (bet $106 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+142) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-172)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Rangers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 5, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline
The RANGERS (-110) are worth playing in Game 4, as Texas hasn’t lost on the road in these playoffs. Until such time, you just have to keep rolling with Texas.
In addition, the Diamondbacks (-106) are doing the opener and bullpen game. While Arizona has done it before in these playoffs, using Mantiply for an inning against Philadelphia, it’s a tall order against the red-hot Rangers.
Run line/Against the spread
The RANGERS -1.5 (+142) are worth playing lightly in Game 4. Texas has won by 2 or more runs in 3 of the past 4 victories dating back to Game 6 of the ALCS.
The Diamondbacks +1.5 (-172) are 4-2 on the run line in the past 6 games as an underdog, winning outright in 3 of those contests.
Over/Under
The UNDER 9.5 (-115) is the lean in Game 4.
The Over cashed in the 1st 2 games in Arlington, but the Under was the right side in Game 1 until Seager provided the late-inning heroics.
The Over is 7-1-1 in the past 9 games for the Diamondbacks, so you’ll be going against the grain. The public is crushing the Under at a nearly 4-to-1 clip after Game 3, and that makes me nervous siding with them. However, as the intensity ratchets up, and get closer to crowning a champ, runs will be at more of a premium.
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