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The LA Dodgers and New York Yankees meet in Game 4 of the best-of-7 World Series Tuesday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Series: Dodgers lead 3-0
The Dodgers pushed the Yankees to the brink of elimination with a 4-2 victory in Game 3 Monday night in the Bronx. It was a well-pitched game, with each team collecting 5 hits apiece. The Dodgers were +131 underdogs and the Under (8) cashed.
Dodgers 1B Freddie Freeman came up with the big blow, smacking a 2-run HR in the top of the 1st inning as he zeroes in on World Series MVP honors. It was enough to back SP Walker Buehler, who twirled 5 scoreless innings before turning it over to the bullpen.
Yankees LF Alex Verdugo made things interesting with a 2-run, 2-out HR in the bottom of the 9th inning off of RP Michael Kopech, but that’s as close as the Bronx Bombers could get. Yankees CF Aaron Judge did not rise as he was hitless again with a walk and a strikeout, slipping to .140 (6-for-43) in the postseason, including 1-for-12 in the Series.
Dodgers at Yankees projected starters
TBD vs. RHP Luis Gil
The Dodgers are expected to go with a bullpen game and they haven’t named a starter as of this publishing. Possibilities include LHP Anthony Banda (1 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 3 games of this World Series) and RHP Ryan Brasier (1 IP, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K in 1 game of this WS).
Gil (15-7, 3.50 ERA) made 29 regular-season starts. He had a 1.19 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 151 1/3 innings.
- Last start (only career postseason appearance): No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-6 win at Cleveland Guardians in Game 4 of ALCS Oct. 18
- 2024 home splits (regular season): 6-4, 3.57 ERA (75 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 .184 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 15 starts
- Career vs. Dodgers: 1 start in 2024, no-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home win June 9
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Dodgers at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (+165) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Dodgers at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Dodgers 3
Moneyline
The YANKEES (-145) have to have a little bit of pride, right?
New York heads into this game with its backs against the wall. It’s a tall order trying to dig out of an 3-0 hole. It sounds cliche, but the team will need to take it one game at a time.
We saw the Edmonton Oilers in a similar spot in this past year’s Stanley Cup Final vs. the Florida Panthers. Down 3-0 in the best-of-7 series, the Oilers fought back to force a Game 7 before losing 2-1 in the deciding game on the road.
The home crowd at Yankee Stadium should spur on the Bronx Bombers Tuesday night, and Gil pitches them to see another day.
Run line/Against the spread
AVOID.
I’m not going to bother in hoping the Yankees -1.5 (+140) win by at least 2 runs.
BetMGM Sportsbook is offering an alternate line of Yankees +1.5 (-250), but that is way too pricey. You can’t risk 2½ times the potential return as that’s not smart sports gambling.
If you like the Yankees, just bet them straight up.
Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.
The last win is the hardest to get in a championship series. You can expect both teams to be a little tight. We saw some signs of that in Game 3 as the total went Under despite a pair of 2-run homers in the game.
We also had a 4-2 score in Game 2 as the Under cashed. Let’s go UNDER again, even though it’s a little disconcerting finalizing that pick before the Dodgers announce their starter.
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