The Green Bay Packers (14-3) and San Francisco 49ers (14-3) will vie for a berth in Super Bowl LIV Sunday evening at 6:40 p.m. ET, as they meet in the NFC Championship Game at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara. Below, we break down the Packers chances of winning the NFC Championship, with NFL betting odds and picks for this matchup.
The Packers are big road underdogs. They are +280 on the money line and are being spotted 7.5 points (-110) on the spread.
If you are going to bet on the NFC Championship, why should you bet on the Packers to win?
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Green Bay wins close games
The last time the 49ers and Packers met, it was a 37-8 blowout win for the Niners at home in Week 12. That isn’t likely to happen again. The Packers are 9-1 this season in games decided by one score. The 49ers were 5-3.
Green Bay wins the turnover battle
Green Bay turned the ball over just 13 times all season. In the Packers’ current six-game winning streak, they have only five turnovers. They have forced nine.
In San Francisco’s three losses, they turned the ball over six times.
Packers QB Aaron Rodgers threw only four interceptions all season. 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo threw 13.
Green Bay’s pass rush will get to Garoppolo
The Packers had 41 sacks on the season. Their edge presence is relentless. Za’Darius Smith had 13.5 sacks and Preston Smith had 12. In the 49ers’ three losses, Garoppolo went down eight times. Green Bay will be able to pressure Garoppolo into making bad decisions.
The Packers will be able to run the ball against the 49ers
The 49ers were 17th in rush defense in 2019. Green Bay rushed for 112 yards per game. The Packers will be able to control the game with a methodical running game.
The Packers are underdogs. They are the biggest underdogs of the four teams remaining in the postseason. At +280 on the money line, you can win nearly triple your bet.
That, in addition to the football reasons already presented, is why you should bet in the Packers to win the NFC Championship.
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