Tag: Packers 49ers betting

Why you should bet on Green Bay Packers to win NFC Championship

Previewing Sunday’s Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers NFC Championship Game, with NFL betting odds, picks, futures and best bets.

The Green Bay Packers (14-3) and San Francisco 49ers (14-3) will vie for a berth in Super Bowl LIV Sunday evening at 6:40 p.m. ET, as they meet in the NFC Championship Game at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara. Below, we break down the Packers chances of winning the NFC Championship, with NFL betting odds and picks for this matchup.

The Packers are big road underdogs. They are +280 on the money line and are being spotted 7.5 points (-110) on the spread.

If you are going to bet on the NFC Championship, why should you bet on the Packers to win?

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Green Bay wins close games

The last time the 49ers and Packers met, it was a 37-8 blowout win for the Niners at home in Week 12. That isn’t likely to happen again. The Packers are 9-1 this season in games decided by one score. The 49ers were 5-3.

Green Bay wins the turnover battle

(Photo Credit: Jeff Hanisch – USA TODAY Sports)

Green Bay turned the ball over just 13 times all season. In the Packers’ current six-game winning streak, they have only five turnovers. They have forced nine.

In San Francisco’s three losses, they turned the ball over six times.

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers threw only four interceptions all season. 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo threw 13.

Green Bay’s pass rush will get to Garoppolo

The Packers had 41 sacks on the season. Their edge presence is relentless. Za’Darius Smith had 13.5 sacks and Preston Smith had 12. In the 49ers’ three losses, Garoppolo went down eight times. Green Bay will be able to pressure Garoppolo into making bad decisions.

The Packers will be able to run the ball against the 49ers

(Photo Credit: Jeff Hanisch – USA TODAY Sports)

The 49ers were 17th in rush defense in 2019. Green Bay rushed for 112 yards per game. The Packers will be able to control the game with a methodical running game.

The Packers are underdogs. They are the biggest underdogs of the four teams remaining in the postseason. At +280 on the money line, you can win nearly triple your bet.

That, in addition to the football reasons already presented, is why you should bet in the Packers to win the NFC Championship.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFC Championship: Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s NFC Championship between the Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers, with NFL betting odds, picks, tips and best bets

The San Francisco 49ers (13-3) host the Green Bay Packers (13-3) Sunday in the NFC Championship Game at Levi’s Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET and will follow the Tennessee Titans-Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship. We analyze the Packers-49ers odds and sports betting lines, while providing NFL betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Packers at 49ers: NFC Championship preview, betting trends and notes

  • The 49ers come in with rest advantage after beating the Minnesota Vikings 27-10 in the Divisional Round last Saturday. The Packers beat the Seattle Seahawks 28-23 last Sunday night.
  • San Francisco was 3-2 straight up with a rest advantage this season. It won those games by an average of 8.8 points and covered the spread of 5.5 points per game. Green Bay was 5-0 SU with a rest disadvantage, winning those games by an average of 7.4 PPG.
  • The two teams met at Levi’s Stadium in Week 12, with the Niners claiming a 37-8 victory. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers was held to a season-low 104 passing yards with one touchdown pass and no interceptions. Lead RB Aaron Jones had just 38 rushing yards and no receptions.
  • The Packers had won the previous two head-to-head meetings in 2015 (17-3) and 2018 (33-30).

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  • The Divisional Round was San Francisco’s first time holding the opposition below 20 points since limiting the Packers to just eight points in Week 12.
  • Green Bay’s 28 points scored against Seattle was its highest single-game total since putting up 31 against the New York Giants in Week 13.
  • The Niners tied for fifth in the NFL in the regular season with 48 sacks. The Packers tied for 15th with 41 sacks. Both teams tied for 12th with 36 sacks given up.
  • The Packers ranked second in the NFL this year with just 13 giveaways. The Niners were sixth with 27 takeaways, but they also committed 23 turnovers. The Packers had 25 takeaways.
  • San Francisco was fourth in the league with an average time of possession of 31:51. Green Bay trailed slightly with an average TOP of 31:20.

Packers at 49ers: NFC Championship odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2 p.m. ET.

Prediction

49ers 23, Packers 20

Moneyline (?)

The 49ers (-345) are big moneyline favorites on the home field, but we’ll PASS on the moneyline wager as a $10 bet on San Francisco to win outright returns a profit of just $2.90. The Packers (+275) offer a sizable return on your investment as they ride a five-game winning streak, but the Niners are the team to back to win the NFC Championship.

Look to the spread for a better value play.

Against the Spread (?)

The PACKERS (+7.5, -115) are the play here as they’re being spotted more than a touchdown. They’ll need just to stay within 7 points in a loss or win outright for a $10 bet to return a profit of $8.70.

Before last week, the Niners were 0-6-1 against the spread when favored by 6 or more points. The Packers were underdogs only four times this year, going 3-1 ATS in those contests. All three of their losses were by at least 7 points (including the 29-point loss the Niners) but expect a much tighter contest with a Super Bowl trip on the line.

Over/Under (?)

Take the UNDER 44.5 (-106). The 49ers fell short of 45 combined points in just six of 17 games (including the Divisional Round) but the Packers have fallen shy of a 45-point total in 10 of 17 games. The season’s first head-to-head showdown played to a total of 45 points on the dot.

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Esten’s NFL betting record: 58-49

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday Night Football’s Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers betting odds, with Week 12 matchup analysis, picks and tips.

Fresh off their bye, the Green Bay Packers (8-2) will visit the San Francisco 49ers (9-1) for the Week 12 Sunday Night Football matchup at Levi’s Stadium. Kickoff will be at 8:20 p.m. ET.

Packers at 49ers: Week 12 preview, betting trends and notes

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  • The Packers are only 1-3-1 against the spread over their last five games following a bye week. The total has gone Under in four of those five games.
  • In their last five games against teams with a winning record, the Packers are 5-0 ATS.
  • The 49ers are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games against the Packers. In their last six meetings overall, however, the Packers are just 1-4-1 ATS vs. San Francisco.
  • The Packers have been very good on the road this year, going 3-1 ATS.
  • The total has gone Over in each of the 49ers’ last four games.
  • In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the total has gone Over in seven of them.

Packers at 49ers: Key injuries

49ers TE George Kittle is still recovering from a knee injury and is questionable to play Sunday. RB Matt Breida (ankle) is also uncertain to play, having missed time recently. LT Joe Staley (finger) and K Robbie Gould (quad) are dealing with injuries, as well.

Packers at 49ers: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:30 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Packers 27, 49ers 24

Moneyline (?)

The 49ers have hit a patch of struggles recently, falling to the Seattle Seahawks two weeks ago and nearly losing to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 11. The Packers aren’t perfect, but they’re healthy coming out of the bye and have Aaron Rodgers.

Bet the PACKERS (+145) to win this one outright, despite being the underdogs. They have the offensive line to neutralize the 49ers’ pass rush at least slightly and give Rodgers time.

Against the Spread (?)

The 49ers are 3.5-point home favorites over the Packers this weekend. Given their better record and home-field advantage, that’s no surprise. But with the Packers getting points, this bet is all the more enticing.

Bet the PACKERS (+3.5, -121) to cover the spread Sunday night, given their impressive 7-3 ATS record this season.

Over/Under (?)

The Over/Under is 46.5 points, but bet the OVER (-121). This game could turn into a shootout if the Packers throw the ball often early on.

As good as the 49ers defense has been, it has come back down to earth in recent weeks. They’ve given up 25, 27 and 26 points in their last three games after not allowing more than 20 through their first seven games.

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @camdasilva and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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