The Georgia Bulldogs are underdogs going against Texas for the first time in more than two years, and there’s a ton of reasons why. Georgia has looked inconsistent in the past few weeks, especially with an unimpressive 41-31 against Mississippi State that saw their secondary struggle. Texas has looked like a juggernaut at 6-0, with an average margin of victory of 36.8 points per game.
As a result, Georgia has just a 23.8% chance of winning, according to ESPN. Several media pundits believe that Texas will come out victorious, but I’m here to give Georgia fans optimism and see some areas where Georgia can take advantage of Texas and achieve victory.
What are four reasons why Georgia can beat Texas
Benefit of the doubt?
Georgia has looked much less dominant than their national championship teams, but here’s the thing. The Bulldogs have only lost one game in the regular season since 2020.
Ever since then, there have been several opponents, regular and postseason, that have tried to get them to break, but only Alabama has been successful in doing so. This includes several SEC juggernauts that Georgia has had to face such as No. 1 Tennessee a few years ago.
Sure, Texas looks the part as the most difficult opponent Georgia has faced in the past couple of years, and Georgia has looked sloppy on occasions, but if there’s any team that deserves the benefit of the doubt, it’s the Bulldogs.
“Georgia has not looked good but remember what we saw yesterday, perhaps a look ahead to the weekend in Austin. Carson Beck is playing well; there are elements to Georgia’s team that are not,” said Paul Finebaum. “But they will be a formidable foe for Texas. Texas has seen some good teams but they have not seen anyone quite like the Dawgs.”
Texas has not played anyone as difficult as ‘Bama
So far, Texas has looked dominant and it’s even more impressive when you consider their competition has been strong. The Longhorns have beat No. 10 Michigan and No. 18 Oklahoma by a combined score of 65-15.
Even then, they still have yet to play an opponent as tough as Georgia has faced. Clemson is now a top 10 team in the nation, and Georgia crushed them 34-3.
Then there’s Alabama. Despite the upset loss to Vandy and nearly being upset by South Carolina, they’re still a top 10 team too. The Bulldogs’ game against Alabama looked ugly at first, but Georgia only needed around 20 minutes to come back from down 30-7 to take a lead. If only a few plays were different, then Georgia wins that game. Compared to Texas, Georgia is more battle-tested for these moments.
Georgia has more to play for
Even with one loss to Alabama, Georgia still has a 68% chance at the postseason, but with a loss to Texas, Georgia essentially finds themselves in no-mans land in the SEC. Having two losses in the SEC would put them below Texas and Alabama, even if the Crimson Tide suffer another loss. A loss at Texas would essentially eliminate Georgia from the SEC championship.
With this in mind, the Bulldogs are going to play with the most urgency they’ve ever played with all season. This is where leadership and mental toughness comes in.
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Kirby Smart is the most experienced big-game coach in college football right now. He’s had his back against the wall multiple times in his coaching career, and he’s had many years to prepare for this moment.
Carson Beck is better than Quinn Ewers
Many people think Georgia-Texas could be a shootout, which means it’ll come down to which one of Quinn Ewers or Carson Beck can perform better. Carson Beck has been up and down this season, but he has an advantage over Ewers.
Since 2023, Carson Beck has totaled 5,759 yards, 39 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions with a 165.2 passer rating, while Quinn Ewers has 4,369 yards, 31 touchdowns, and nine interceptions with a 159.6 passer rating. Sure, Beck’s numbers are down this year, but Carson Beck has superior numbers.
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Against ranked teams it’s close, but Beck has the edge. Beck has 1,818 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and four interceptions against ranked opponents, while Ewers has 1,592 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and four interceptions.