What history tells us about Bears QB Justin Fields’ ability to succeed with a new regime

Justin Fields is the latest QB selected by a GM that was fired after drafting him. Here’s how other QBs have fared in similar situations.

As the 2022 NFL draft inches closer and closer, the Chicago Bears can check “quarterback” off their needs list as it has become abundantly clear from both new general manager Ryan Poles and head coach Matt Eberflus that Justin Fields is their guy heading into the fall.

Fields of course was selected by former GM Ryan Pace when the Bears traded up to nab him in the 2021 NFL draft. But after just one season with him, Pace was fired, along with head coach Matt Nagy, for failing to show adequate growth and win enough games.

Fields is looking to build off an uneven rookie season that saw him throw for 1,870 yards with seven touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also coughed up the ball 12 times in 2021 and was beaten up in the pocket. But with a new offensive coordinator and different philosophy, the hope is that Fields develops into the dynamic franchise quarterback fans have been dreaming of for a lifetime.

Poles and Eberflus have publicly backed Fields as their guy heading into the 2022 season. But even with those assurances, some insiders aren’t convinced the new regime will stick with him for the long term.

One of them is Pro Football Talk’s Mike Florio, who shared with 670 The Score’s Dan Bernstein Show earlier in the week that he thinks the Bears could look to distance themselves from Fields after this season.

“It feels like the Bears are deliberately taking a step back,” Florio said. “And the problem is usually teams do that when they don’t have a QB they believe in…Maybe that’s the hidden message here, that the new regime doesn’t believe in Justin Fields.”

Florio’s take was universally panned across social media, with fans and other media members having strong opinions. After all, Fields has been front and center since Poles and Eberflus were introduced in January. He spoke at the introductory press conference and both men have raved about how the Bears are “his team” as they prepare for the upcoming season. But if recent history is any indicator, Fields may not last too long with the new regime in place.

When the Bears decided to fire Pace at the end of the 2021 season, they chose to do so knowing that he had just mortgaged the future for a rookie quarterback. Now that same quarterback is under a new GM who, while still supporting him, didn’t choose him. Firing a GM after a season in which they selected a quarterback in the first round of the NFL draft isn’t exactly common, but it’s happened a few times in recent years.

Since 2010, five GMs were fired less than a year after they had selected a quarterback with a first-round draft pick, including the Bears and Pace. Of the previous four, none of the quarterbacks selected went on to earn a second contract with their original team.

Two other general managers, Rick Smith with the Houston Texans and Buddy Nix with the Buffalo Bills, stepped down due to other circumstances after selecting a quarterback in the first round, but were not included in this list.