What are the Packers’ playoff odds entering Week 12?

The Packers are 4-7 entering the final six games of the 2022 season, and the playoffs look like a long shot.

The Green Bay Packers lost to the Tennessee Titans in Week 11 and are now 4-7 entering Week 12.

After six losses in the last seven games, the situation is dire for Matt LaFleur’s team. The Packers are 12th in the NFC and becoming a big long shot to make the postseason, even in a top-heavy conference littered with parity.

Here are the Packers’ playoff odds from various sites:

FiveThirtyEight: 6 percent
Football Outsiders: 8.6 percent
New York Times: 11 percent
ESPN FPI: 5.0 percent
Playoff Status: 3.0 percent
Team Rankings: 6.8 percent

The Packers will likely have to go 5-1 or 6-0 to have a realistic shot at making the postseason.

Playoff standings, NFC

Note: Top seven teams make the postseason. Also, 49ers play the Cardinals on Monday night.

1. Philadelphia Eagles (9-1)
2. Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
3. Seattle Seahawks (6-4)
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5)
5. Dallas Cowboys (7-3)
6. New York Giants (7-3)
7. San Francisco 49ers (5-4)

8. Washington Commanders (6-5)
9. Atlanta Falcons (5-6)
10. Detroit Lions (4-6)
11. Arizona Cardinals (4-6)
12. Green Bay Packers (4-7)
13. New Orleans Saints (4-7)
14. Los Angeles Rams (3-7)
15. Carolina Panthers (3-8)
16. Chicago Bears (3-8)

The Packers beat the Cowboys but have losses to the Vikings, Giants, Commanders and Lions, who are all ahead in the standings.

Remaining schedule

Week 12: at Philadelphia Eagles (9-1)
Week 13: at Chicago Bears (3-8)
Week 14: Bye week
Week 15: vs. Los Angeles Rams (3-7)
Week 16: at Miami Dolphins (7-3)
Week 17: vs. Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
Week 18: vs. Detroit Lions (4-6)

The Packers play three current division leaders (Eagles, Dolphins, Vikings) over the final six games. There is an even split of home (three) and road (three) games, but LaFleur’s team does finish with two straight division games at Lambeau Field.

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