Eight of the top 10 golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings are in attendance for this week’s WGC-Mexico Championship at Club de Golf Chapultepec near Mexico City, Mexico. Below, we’ll analyze the golf betting odds, while making our picks to win the 2020 WGC-Mexico Championship.
The key stats for the 7,345-yard, par-71 Club de Golf Chapultepec are:
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Strokes Gained: Scrambling
- Opportunities Gained
- Bogeys Avoided
- Proximity from 150-175 Yards
- Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450 Yards
My model at Fantasy National looks at the most recent 24 rounds for each golfer in the field on courses shorter than 7,200 yards. It’s a more accurate depiction of Chapultepec’s length due to the elevation of nearly 1.5 miles above sea level.
WGC-Mexico Championship – Tier 1
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1:30 p.m. ET.
Rory McIlroy (+550)
McIlroy, the No. 1 golfer in the world, entered Sunday’s final round of last week’s Genesis Invitational as a co-leader but struggled to a T-5 finish with a final round of 2-over par 73. It was his worst finish in five worldwide events since a T-26 at the European Tour’s Alfred Dunhill Links Championship.
He leads this week’s stat model in Bogeys Avoided and SG: Scrambling. He was the runner-up to Dustin Johnson last year (by five strokes), and he tied for seventh in 2017.
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Adam Scott (+2000)
Scott’s win last week was his second straight victory after winning the Australian PGA Championship to conclude his 2019 season. The 2013 Masters champion has won two WGC events in his career, including the 2016 Cadillac Championship, which was the former name of this event when played in Doral, Florida. He went back-to-back that year as well, winning the WGC the week after the Honda Classic.
WGC-Mexico Championship – Tier 2
Byeong Hun An (+6600)
An has played this event two of the last three years, finishing T-48 in 2017 and T-45 last year. He enters the week ranked 40th in the world, but he hasn’t competed since a T-9 finish at the Waste Management Phoenix Open.
He’s one of the best in the field at scrambling and from the key proximity distance. An has lost strokes putting at five straight measured events and just needs to be average with the flat stick.
Tyrrell Hatton (+6600)
Hatton is a strong value play with three straight top-20 finishes at this event in Mexico. He finished alone in 10th in 2017, tied for third in 2018 and tied for 19th last year. He enters the week well-rested, after last appearing at the DP World Tour Championship in Dubai in late November. He won the Turkish Airlines Open in his second-to-last event for his fourth professional win.
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WGC-Mexico Championship – Longshots
Chez Reavie (+10000)
Reavie has rebounded from a horrid stretch of three straight missed cuts to finish T-25 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and T-10 at last week’s Genesis Invitational. He doesn’t have a strong history at this event with a T-52 finish in 2018 and T-65 last year, but he enters this year’s tournament 13th in the stat model while leaning on a strong approach game.
Sebastian Munoz (+15000)
Munoz opened the Genesis Invitational 69-69 before slipping down the leaderboard over the weekend en route to a T-26 finish. The native of Colombia will make his professional debut at Chapultepec. He already has a win in the 2019-20 PGA Tour season, but only 12 members of the 72-man field have worse odds to win.
Complete odds
| Player | Odds |
| Rory McIlroy | +600 |
| Dustin Johnson | +700 |
| Jon Rahm | +1000 |
| Justin Thomas | +1000 |
| Adam Scott | +1600 |
| Webb Simpson | +1600 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +2000 |
| Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +2200 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | +3300 |
| Patrick Reed | +3300 |
| Gary Woodland | +4000 |
| Paul Casey | +4000 |
| Matt Kuchar | +4000 |
| Mark Leishman | +4000 |
| Sergio Garcia | +4000 |
| Collin Morikawa | +4000 |
| Bubba Watson | +4500 |
| Abraham Ancer | +5000 |
| Jordan Spieth | +5000 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | +5000 |
| Shane Lowry | +5000 |
| Sungjae Im | +5000 |
| Brandt Snedeker | +6600 |
| Byeong Hun An | +6600 |
| Cameron Smith | +6600 |
| Bernd Wiesberger | +8000 |
| Billy Horschel | +8000 |
| Branden Grace | +8000 |
| Kevin Kisner | +8000 |
| Rafa Cabrera Bello | +8000 |
| Victor Perez | +8000 |
| Corey Conners | +9000 |
| Kurt Kitayama | +9000 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | +10000 |
| Danny Willett | +10000 |
| Graeme McDowell | +10000 |
| Kevin Na | +10000 |
| Matthias Schwab | +10000 |
| Robert MacIntyre | +10000 |
| Charles Howell III | +12500 |
| Francesco Molinari | +12500 |
| Jason Kokrak | +12500 |
| Lee Westwood | +12500 |
| Brendon Todd | +12500 |
| Lanto Griffin | +12500 |
| Scottie Scheffler | +12500 |
| Carlos Ortiz | +15000 |
| Jazz Janewattananond | +15000 |
| Lucas Glover | +15000 |
| Lucas Herbert | +15000 |
| Matt Wallace | +15000 |
| Michael Lorenzo-Vera | +15000 |
| Ryan Fox | +15000 |
| Sebastián Muñoz | +15000 |
| Marcus Kinhult | +20000 |
| Benjamin Hebert | +25000 |
| Justin Harding | +25000 |
| Shugo Imahira | 25000 |
| Zander Lombard | +25000 |
| Jorge Campillo | +30000 |
| Pablo Larrazabal | +30000 |
| Ryo Ishikawa | +30000 |
| Scott Hend | +30000 |
| Shaun Norris | +30000 |
| Zach Murray | +30000 |
| Tae Hee Lee | +50000 |
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