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The Miami Heat (35-28) welcome the Washington Wizards (10-53) to Kaseya Center Sunday. Tip is set for 6 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Wizards vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Heat lead 2-0
The Heat lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder Friday 107-100, covering as an 8.5-point road underdog. Miami has lost 2 in a row and 3 of its last 5 yet has covered in 10 of its last 13. It is 31-31-1 against the spread (ATS) on the season. Miami is led by G Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 21.7 points per game (PPG).
The Wizards snapped a 16-game losing streak and got their 10th win of the season Friday, beating the Charlotte Hornets 112-100 at home and closing as a 2.5-point favorite. Washington has covered in 3 of its last 7 games and is 29-32-2 ATS on the season. It is led by F Kyle Kuzma, who is averaging 22.3 PPG.
Wizards at Heat odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Wizards +430 (bet $100 to win $430) | Heat -590 (bet $590 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +11 (-108) | Heat -11 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 229 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Wizards at Heat key injuries
Wizards
- G Landry Shamet (calf) questionable
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (foot) out
- G Caleb Martin (thumb) available
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Wizards at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 120, Wizards 107
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no value in betting the home side to win outright here. Similarly, Washington has been one of the worst teams in the NBA and isn’t worth backing to pull off an upset.
Against the spread
BET HEAT -11 (-112).
The Wizards did beat Charlotte in their last game, but have failed to cover the 3 games prior and are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games as a double-digit underdog.
Meanwhile, the Heat are 3-2 ATS as a favorite of 7 or more points and are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games at home. Miami has more efficient scoring options and has a strong defense as well. Back HEAT -11 (-112).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 229 (-110).
The Heat have scored at least 118 points in 2 of their last 3 games and have allowed at least 110 points in 3 of those 4. They will have the pace pushed against the Wizards.
Washington sits 1st in pace and 30th in defensive rating. That type of style is going to exude points, which should be the case Sunday. The Wizards are 4-1 O/U in their last 5 games. Back OVER 229 (-110).
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