The Memphis Grizzlies (34-17) host the Washington Wizards (23-25) Saturday at FedExForum for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Wizards vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Washington has lost five of its last six games (1-5 against the spread) including four straight with the latest being a heartbreaking 116-115 loss at home to the Los Angeles Clippers Tuesday. The Wizards had a 30-point lead at halftime before an epic collapse to the Clippers.
Memphis has won back-to-back games at the San Antonio Spurs Wednesday and at home against the Utah Jazz Friday. The Grizzlies are 4-2 straight-up (SU) and ATS over the last two weeks with their two losses coming on the road at the Milwaukee Bucks and Dallas Mavericks.
The Wizards beat the brakes off the Grizzlies 115-87 as 3-point favorites in their first meeting this season Nov. 5. Washington’s domination was due to it outshooting Memphis from the field 58.3-35.4% (40.0-19.4% from behind the arc) but the Grizzlies won three of the “four factors”.
Wizards at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:09 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Wizards +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Grizzlies -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +5.5 (-115) | Grizzlies -5.5 (-107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Wizards at Grizzlies key injuries
Wizards
- None.
Grizzlies (not officially submitted)
- SG Dillon Brooks (ankle)
- SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
- PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out
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Wizards at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Grizzlies 117, Wizards 107
Money line
PASS because I think Memphis gets revenge on Washington for earlier this season but the Grizzlies (-220) is a little out of my price range.
Against the spread
BET the GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-107) for 1 unit because Memphis has been profitable at this price this season while the opposite is true for the Wizards.
Memphis is 4-1 ATS when laying between 5-7 points and Washington is 1-5-1 ATS when being spotted 5-7 points.
The Grizzlies have also performed very well against teams in the bottom 10 of efficiency differential, which Washington is, and when played with a rest disadvantage.
The Grizzlies are 14-6 SU versus bottom-10 teams with the fourth-best adjusted net rating (plus-11.7) and the second-best ATS margin (plus-7.6), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG). Plus the Grizzlies are an NBA-best 8-4 ATS when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Memphis has covered six of its past seven home games, seven of its past eight games as a favorite and five straight versus teams with a losing record.
Finally, Washington is an NBA-worst 7-15-1 ATS on the road with a minus-2.3 ATS margin.
BET the GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-107) for 1 unit.
Over/Under
BET the UNDER 229.5 (-108) for 1 unit because Memphis plays more to the Under in this situation, Washington does a good job defending what the Grizzlies do often and I think the public will be all over this Over.
Memphis likes to push the pace, attack the basket and crash the glass. However, the Wizards allow the fewest fastbreak points per game (PPG) and rank 12th in second-chance PPG allowed.
Lastly, the Grizzlies are 5-6-1 O/U when playing with a rest disadvantage (minus-4.1 total margin) and 3-5-1 O/U on zero rest days (minus-5.5 total margin).
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