The Washington Nationals (42-46) visit the San Francisco Giants (56-32) Sunday at Oracle Park to finish their three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
San Francisco is going for the sweep after raking Washington 10-4 Saturday and chasing Nationals starting LHP Jon Lester in the 3rd inning by scoring 8 runs (3 earned) on 9 hits and 2 walks.
Season series: Giants lead 4-2.
RHP Erick Fedde is Washington’s projected starter. Fedde is 4-5 with a 4.53 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 over 12 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 7-4, with 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K Tuesday at the San Diego Padres.
- Fedde earned a win June 12 against San Francisco with a stat line of 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 7 K in Washington’s 2-0 victory.
- vs. Giants on the current roster: 34 at-bats with a .206/.206/.294 slash line, 9/0 K/BB, 1 HR and 2 RBIs.
RHP Kevin Gausman makes his 18th start for the Giants. Gausman is 8-3 with a 1.74 ERA (108 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.80 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 this year.
- Last outing: Loss, 5-3, with 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K Monday vs. the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Gausman was the losing pitcher in Fedde’s victory over the Giants back on June 12 with a stat line of 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
- vs. Nationals on the current roster: 144 at-bats with a .292/.333/.479 slash line, 30/9 K/BB, 6 HR and 22 RBIs.
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Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Giants -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Giants 5, Nationals 1
Money line (ML)
BET the GIANTS (-210) for 1 unit because Gausman has been the second-best National League pitcher through the first half of the season and the Nationals are limping into the All-Star break as losers in eight of their last 10 games.
One of the two earned runs allowed by Gausman against the Giants earlier this season was a solo home run from Nationals OF Kyle Schwarber who had a red-hot June but is currently on the IL.
Furthermore, I like betting on heavy favorites with low totals because if the House is anticipating a lower-scoring affair then there’s a solid chance that the better side scores more of the few runs projected.
Remember, regular-season MLB betting is a grind so don’t go outside of your comfort zone with this bet. If your standard unit is $100 then risk that on the GIANTS (-210) to hopefully scoop a $48 profit.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (-105) because although I’d prefer to play it safe and lay -210 with San Francisco’s money line there’s certainly a case to be made for the run line.
The Giants have the second-highest cover rate at home this season with a 25-17 ATS record while the Nationals are just 19-23 ATS on the road.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 8 (-105) since the presumed “sharp” money is on the Under whereas the “public” is backing the Over. Washington is 3-8-1 O/U in Fedde starts this season and the Under cashed in nine straight Giants-Nationals meetings prior to Saturday’s Over.
However, I have a hunch the Giants bats could rake Fedde in this matchup and I much prefer the San Francisco sides more than the total in this one.
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