The Washington Nationals (40-80) play the 2nd game of their 4-game road series against the San Diego Padres (66-55) Friday. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 2-2
The Nationals won Thursday’s series opener 3-1. They have won only 4 games in their last 16 and have the worst record in the National League.
The Padres are 5-9 in their last 14 games and have lost 3 of their last 4 games. They are 2nd in the NL West. They trail the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers by 17 games, but have a firm hold on a wild-card berth.
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Nationals at Padres projected starters
RHP Paolo Espino vs. LHP Blake Snell
Espino (0-5, 4.20 ERA) makes his 13th start in 33 appearances. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 81 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Lost 6-0 Sunday against the Padres with 5 2/3 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 2 BB and 3 K
- Has a 5.27 ERA in his 12 starts
Snell (5-6, 3.66 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 78 2/3 IP.
- Threw 6 shutout innings in the Padres’ 6-0 win Sunday over the Nationals (3 H, 0 BB and 10 K)
- Has allowed 1 or fewer runs in his last 5 starts and in 7 of his last 8
Nationals at Padres odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Nationals +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Padres -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +2.5 (-125) | Padres -2.5 (+102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Nationals at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 5, Nationals 2
Money line
PASS. This pitching matchup is overwhelmingly in favor of the Padres and the Nationals are just struggling. Snell has a 2.08 ERA in his last 8 starts.
Betting the Nationals seems like a bad bet and betting the Padres here just doesn’t make sense.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Padres are not great against the spread, as they are 56-65 ATS overall this season, but the Nationals are 50-70 ATS and 27-30 ATS on the road.
The Padres have covered the spread in both wins against the Nationals. Both wins were by at least 5 runs. Their last 5 wins have been by at least 3 runs.
Fifteen of the Nationals’ last 19 losses have been by 3 or more runs.
Take the PADRES -2.5 (+102).
Over/Under
In 4 games against each other, 3 have had 7 or fewer runs.
Each of Snell’s last 2 starts has had 6 or fewer runs.
Five of the last 7 games for Washington have had 7 or fewer runs.
Take UNDER 7.5 (-108).
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