The Washington Nationals (55-104) begin a 3-game series with the New York Mets (98-61) to conclude the season Monday at Citi Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 11-5
The Nationals have had a forgettable season in 2022. Washington has lost 7 of its last 10 games, though they could hurt the chances of New York winning the NL East with a win Monday.
The Mets had an opportunity to extend their lead in the NL East in their most recent 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves, only to get swept. If the season were to end right now, New York would be 2 games back from Atlanta in the NL East and would have the No. 1 wild-card spot in the NL.
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Nationals at Mets projected starters
RHP Cory Abbott vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco
Abbott (0-4, 5.11 ERA) makes his 9th start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 44 IP.
- Has given up 4 ER in each of his last 2 starts
- Aug. 2 vs. Mets: 5 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 K
Carrasco (15-7, 3.95 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 148 IP.
- Has given up 7 runs over 7 innings across his last 2 starts
- Sept. 4 vs. Nationals: 2 2/3 IP, 6 H, 5 R (1 ER), 2 BB, 2 K
Nationals at Mets odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nationals +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Mets -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+110) | Mets (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Nationals at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Nationals 3
Moneyline
Go ahead and PASS on the moneyline in this game as the Mets are heavy favorites at home. Taking New York straight up doesn’t make sense given the team’s current odds to win.
Run line/Against the spread
METS -1.5 (-135) seems to be the ideal run-line wager in this game as New York is desperate to win the rest of its games in hopes to reclaim the top spot in the NL East. The Mets also have a massive advantage on the mound and the Nationals don’t have anything to play for as they conclude the season.
In the previous 16 meetings between the Nationals and the Mets this season, the winner of each game has won by multiple runs.
Over/Under
The Under is 5-1 in the Nationals’ last 6 road games and 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter; the Mets have hit the Over in 6 of their last 7 games.
Give me OVER 7.5 RUNS (-107) as New York should be able to score a decent number of runs with Abbott on the mound.
The Over is 9-0 in Carrasco’s last 9 starts in the first game of a season series. On top of that, the Over is 5-2-1 in the previous 8 meetings between the Nationals and the Mets in New York.
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