The Washington Nationals (45-87) take on the New York Mets (85-48) in the second game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Citi Field is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 11-3
The Nationals enter Saturday’s NL East showdown having lost 4 of their last 7 games, including Friday’s series opener. RHP Josiah Gray struggled for Washington Friday as he gave up 6 ER on 6 H and 4 BB with just 2 K across 5 IP.
The Mets remain one of the best teams in baseball and have won 6 of their last 8 contests. New York owns the 2nd-best record in the NL while they sit atop the NL East with a 3-game lead over the Atlanta Braves.
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Nationals at Mets projected starters
LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Max Scherzer
Corbin (5-17, 6.56 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 127 2/3 IP.
- Last 10 starts: 46 IP, 1-7 record, 7.43 ERA, 71 H, 15 BB, 10 HR, 38 K
- Aug. 1 vs. Mets: 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K
Scherzer (9-4, 2.27 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 122 2/3 IP.
- Has pitched 6 or more innings in 14 of his last 15 starts
- Aug. 1 at Nationals: 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K
Nationals at Mets odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Nationals +330 (bet $100 to win $330) | Mets -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +2.5 (-115) | Mets -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Nationals at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 9, Nationals 2
Money line
AVOID wagering on the money line in this game as while the Mets (-450) should have no issues taking care of the Nationals at home, it’s not worth taking their money line straight up.
Run line/Against the spread
Some people may refrain from taking teams that have -2.5 run spreads, but METS -2.5 (-105) is an intriguing bet. The Nationals have been outscored 17-3 in Corbin’s last 2 starts vs. the Mets.
For those that don’t want to take the -2.5 spread for the entire game, METS -1.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-113) is a nice alternative.
Over/Under
All signs point toward the Under being the play in this game. However, we saw 10 runs scored in the last meeting between Corbin and Scherzer back on Aug. 1. So give me OVER 7.5 (+100) as the Mets could produce 8 or more runs single-handedly against the shaky southpaw.
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