The Washington Nationals (5-7) and New York Mets (7-10) continue a four-game series Tuesday at Citi Field in Queens with a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. We analyze the Nationals-Mets MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Nationals at Mets: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Rick Porcello
Scherzer was lifted after one inning from his last start Wednesday against the Mets in D.C. due to discomfort in his hamstring, but manager Dave Martinez confirmed the ace will start in this one.
- Scherzer has posted an 0-1 record, 3.29 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 22 strikeouts across 13 2/3 innings over three outings.
- Scherzer was 1-1 with a 3.46 ERA and .200 opponent batting average with 35 strikeouts over 26 innings in four starts against the Mets in 2019.
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Porcello picked up a win last Wednesday at Washington, yielding one earned run, five hits and no walks with four strikeouts over seven innings, easily his best outing in three starts with the Mets.
- Overall, Porcello has a 1-1 record, 6.92 ERA and 1.77 WHIP across 13 innings in three starts in his first foray into the National League after 11 seasons in the AL.
- Porcello threw 56 of his 81 pitches for strikes against the Nats on Wednesday, including 19 first-pitch strikes to the 25 batters he faced.
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Nationals at Mets: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Nationals
- RP Will Harris (groin) out
- 1B Ryan Zimmerman (personal) opted out of the season
Mets
- 2B Robinson Cano (groin) out
- OF Yoenis Cespedes (personal) opted out of the season
- OF Jake Marisnick (hamstring) out
- 2B Eduardo Nunez (knee) out
Nationals at Mets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Nationals 7, Mets 2
Moneyline (ML)
The NATIONALS (-150) finally found their hitting shoes, erupting for a season-high 16 runs in a rout of the Mets (+135) Monday. Now, it looks like their ace is healthy and they’re the play yet again. Porcello did post a quality start and win against the Nats last week, but he is going to be on the short end in this pitching matchup.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on Washington returns a profit of $6.67, while the Mets fetch a profit of $13.50 if they’re victorious.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The NATIONALS (-1.5, +105) spanked the Mets in the series opener, and they’ll do it again Tuesday. Porcello cannot be trusted to turn in back-to-back quality starts, and as long as Scherzer doesn’t hobble off early, the defending champs are a good play on this alternate run line.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 8 (-110) is once again the lean. The Nats smashed the Over times two in Monday’s rout. The Mets will have some difficulty solving Scherzer, and that’s the biggest worry about playing the over.
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