The Washington Nationals (12-26) and Miami Marlins (17-19) meet Wednesday at 6:40 p.m. ET to put a bow on a 3-game series at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Miami leads 5-0. The Fish have outscored the Nats 23-8.
Washington has lost 5 of its last 6 games. The Nationals have scored a total of 5 runs over those losses.
The Marlins have allowed just 8 runs across their 5 wins over the Nats in 2022. Miami ranks 8th in MLB with just 3.72 runs allowed per game.
Nationals at Marlins projected starters
RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Pablo Lopez
Gray (4-3, 4.34 ERA) makes his 8th start of the season. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 37 1/3 IP.
- Has coughed up 5 home runs (and 9 earned runs) over his last 11 1/3 IP.
- Current Miami batters own an aggregate .913 OPS against him.
Lopez (4-1, 1.05 ERA) owns a 0.81 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 43 IP across 7 starts.
- Owns a 2.23 ERA and 0.98 WHIP at home since 2020.
- Has yielded more than 1 run in just 1 start so far.
- Owns a would-be career-best swinging-strike rate of 14.5%.
Nationals at Marlins odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:57 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Marlins -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Marlins -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Nationals at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 5, Nationals 4
Money line
The O/U is the strongest play in this game. Lopez and the Fish are worthy as commanding favorites but only to a point. THE NATIONALS ARE WORTH A LOOK if the tag hits +165. Keep an eye on this line.
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Run line/Against the spread
Similar to the ML note above: the lean here is on Washington, but the price is 5-to-10 cents out of bounds.
Over/Under
Miami had played in 3 straight Overs prior to Tuesday’s 5-1 game, and the Over was 8-2 across the Marlins’ previous 10 games at home.
Both offenses rank near the MLB average in runs scored, but both have also shown some growth potential of late. The Marlins have hit well at home (.761 OPS) and the Nats have been excellent on the road (.779 OPS).
BACK THE OVER 7.5 (+105).
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