The Washington Nationals (36-37) and Miami Marlins (32-43) play the third game of a four-game set Saturday with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch at loanDepot park in Miami. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 5-5 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 in 76 2/3 IP over 14 starts.
Corbin has won back-to-back starts for the first time this season, and he is looking for his first three-game win streak since Sept. 12-23, 2019. He allowed two earned runs, four hits and four walks across seven innings in a win May 1 against Miami, too.
RHP Zach Thompson is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 1-2 with a 1.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 12 IP over 3 starts.
Thompson hasn’t lasted longer than five innings in any of his three starts. He has allowed just one unearned run, four hits and three walks with 13 strikeouts across nine innings over the past two starts.
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Nationals at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Marlins +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+135) | Marlins +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Nationals 5, Marlins 2
Money line (ML)
The NATIONALS (-120) are looking for the bounce back after getting dusted 11-2 by the Marlins (+100) in Friday’s game. Washington is 3-0 across Corbin’s past three outings, and 7-3 across his past 10 starts overall.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The NATIONALS -1.5 (+135) are a decent play on the run line, as they have won six of their past 12 games by two or more runs. They’re 3-1 in the past four against the Marlins +1.5 (-160), winning all three outings by at least two runs, too.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 8 (-115) is the lean here. The Under has hit in 12 of the past 16 as a favorite while going 20-8-1 in the past 29 against NL East foes. The Under is also 8-3 in the past 11 at home against a left-handed starting pitcher.
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