Washington Commanders at New York Giants odds, picks and predictions

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The Washington Commanders (3-3) face the New York Giants (1-5) Sunday in Week 7 NFL action. Kickoff at MetLife Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Commanders vs. Giants odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Commanders broke a 3-game losing streak in Week 6 with a road win over the Atlanta Falcons, 24-16. QB Sam Howell threw 3 touchdown passes to 3 different players in the victory. Washington’s defense intercepted Falcons QB Desmond Ridder 3 times to stifle any chance of a comeback. It looks to improve its division record to .500 with a win Sunday.

The Giants lost their 4th straight game, in Buffalo last Sunday. New York failed to score a touchdown and settled for 3 field goals from K Graham Gano. They have been held to 16 points or fewer in 5 of their 6 games and have the lowest per-game point total in the NFL.

The last time these teams met was in Dec. 2022 in Washington, and the Giants won 20-12 as 4-point underdogs. The Commanders are 2-1-1 in their last 4 head-to-head meetings but 1-3 against the spread (ATS).

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Commanders at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:23 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Commanders -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Giants +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Against the spread (ATS): Commanders -3 (-110) | Giants +3 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 37.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Commanders at Giants key injuries

Commanders

None

Giants

OT Andrew Thomas (hamstring) out
OT Matt Peart (shoulder) out
C John Michael Schmitz (shoulder) out
QB Daniel Jones (neck) questionable
OT Evan Neal (ankle) questionable
CB Adoree’ Jackson (neck) questionable

Commanders at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Commanders 23, Giants 13

Moneyline

PASS.

This game is basically a coin flip, even if Jones is able to play. I watch every single Commanders game being a DC-area native, and this is a game they could easily lose despite being the better and healthier overall team. I’m not going to put down $150 to win $100 on what is essentially a coin flip.

Against the spread

PASS.

For all the same reasons I listed above, I’m going to avoid this bet as well. The Giants are littered with injuries across their offensive line and their starting quarterback will likely not play. The Commanders are not a good enough team to go in and win this game convincingly like they should. Look to the total for my favorite bet.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 37.5 (-110).

This is a really low total. Typically, I’d always look to the Over in a game that has a total under 40 but not this one. The Giants held the Bills to just 14 points, and the Commanders defense is better than its statistics would tell you.

This game will be a slog between 2 teams trying to find their way this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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